Result
03/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 12
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana
44.6% | Draw
33.1% | Nueva Chicago
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.45) |
2.79 ↑
(2.69) |
4.12 ↑
(3.44) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Patronato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Patronato will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Nueva Chicago?
Patronato Parana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nueva Chicago won against Patronato Parana?
Nueva Chicago has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Nueva Chicago were as follows:
11.09.2023
Nueva Chicago
-
Patronato Parana
1:1
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Racing Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Almirante Brown | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Ferro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Acassuso | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | CA Mitre | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Nueva Chicago | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Atlanta | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Temperley | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Midland | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maipu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Chacarita Juniors | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Patronato | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Colegiales | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Almagro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
