Result
2:0
05/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Numancia B 24.2% | Draw 27.9% | Atlético Palencia 47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Numancia B's form might have worsened.Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Palencia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Numancia B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Palencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Numancia B - Atlético Palencia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.74 ↑ (3.01) |
3.24 ↑ (3.13) |
1.9 ↓ (2.18) |
10.3% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
- Numancia B is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Palencia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Numancia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético Palencia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia B won against Atlético Palencia?
Numancia B has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Palencia won against Numancia B?
Atlético Palencia has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia B - Atlético Palencia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Atlético Palencia
-
Numancia B
2:0
22.04.2023
Atlético Palencia
-
Numancia B
3:2
08.01.2023
Numancia B
-
Atlético Palencia
2:3
Latest results of Numancia B
Latest results of Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Tordesillas | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 56:18 | 38 | 72 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 46:23 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 47:26 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Almazan | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | La Virgen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 44 |
| 9 | Mirandes B | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 43 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Colegios Diocesanos | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | Arandina | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 28:42 | -14 | 29 |
| 15 | CD Mojados | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24:49 | -25 | 24 |
| 16 | Numancia B | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 25:49 | -24 | 23 |
| 17 | Becerril | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35:54 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Unionistas B | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
Relegation