Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Jony ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Jony ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marino de Luanco 37.4% | Draw 30.1% | Numancia 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marino de Luanco - Numancia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2) |
3.07 ↓ (3.24) |
2.84 ↓ (3.53) |
8.2% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Marino de Luanco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Numancia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Marino de Luanco won against Numancia?
Marino de Luanco has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against Marino de Luanco?
Numancia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marino de Luanco - Numancia were as follows:
09.03.2025
Marino de Luanco
-
Numancia
1:0
26.10.2024
Numancia
-
Marino de Luanco
1:0
Latest results of Marino de Luanco
Latest results of Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 56:19 | 37 | 66 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 46:30 | 16 | 55 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 48 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 48 |
| 5 | Real Avila | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Salamanca | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Numancia | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
| 8 | Coruxo FC | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 42 |
| 10 | Langreo | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:34 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | Rayo Cantabria | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 54:43 | 11 | 42 |
| 12 | Sarriana | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:36 | 3 | 40 |
| 13 | Atl. Astorga | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 14 | Marino de Luanco | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 39 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 53:58 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:52 | -16 | 32 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 27:47 | -20 | 27 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22:75 | -53 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
UD Samano is Relegated to