Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Jony ⚽,
- 14', 0 - 2, Jony ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marino de Luanco 37.4% | Draw 30.1% | Numancia 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marino de Luanco - Numancia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2) |
3.07 ↓ (3.24) |
2.84 ↓ (3.53) |
8.2% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Marino de Luanco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Numancia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Marino de Luanco won against Numancia?
Marino de Luanco has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against Marino de Luanco?
Numancia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marino de Luanco - Numancia were as follows:
09.03.2025
Marino de Luanco
-
Numancia
1:0
26.10.2024
Numancia
-
Marino de Luanco
1:0
Latest results of Marino de Luanco
Latest results of Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oviedo B | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 43:21 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | Dep. Fabril | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 41:16 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Coruxo FC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Salamanca | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Numancia | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | UD Ourense | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Real Avila | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Marino de Luanco | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20:14 | 6 | 33 |
| 11 | Atl. Astorga | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 25 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 30:33 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Langreo | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Lealtad | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
| 17 | Burgos CF B | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 17:54 | -37 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation