Numancia vs Sámano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Numancia - Sámano
12/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Numancia
76.1%
Draw
17.1%
Sámano
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 20% 11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73% 18.8% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.
  • Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Numancia - Sámano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.31)
    5.74
    (4.5)
    15.74
    (7.95)
    8.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Numancia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sámano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Numancia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Sámano has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Numancia is the clear favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Numancia
    05.10.2025 Sarriana - Numancia 4:2
    21.09.2025 Bergantiños - Numancia 3:1
    14.09.2025 Numancia - Rayo Cantabria 2:1
    06.09.2025 Lealtad - Numancia 1:1
    Latest results of Sámano
    05.10.2025 Sámano - Salamanca 0:2
    27.09.2025 Sámano - Sarriana 1:2
    21.09.2025 Lealtad - Sámano 2:2
    13.09.2025 Sámano - Real Oviedo B 0:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril660016:31318
    2R. Oviedo B541014:7713
    3Salamanca641110:5513
    4Real Avila54109:4513
    5Gimnastica Segoviana63218:3511
    6Marino de Luanco63216:2411
    7Sarriana630311:929
    8Bergantinos52218:628
    9Valladolid Promesas62139:907
    10Numancia52127:9-27
    11Rayo Cantabria61327:8-16
    12Coruxo FC51225:7-25
    13UD Ourense60333:6-33
    14Langreo60335:10-53
    15Burgos CF B50324:10-63
    16Atl. Astorga51044:12-83
    17Lealtad60244:12-82
    18UD Samano50143:11-81

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