Nuno Borges vs Lorenzo Musetti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cagliari Challenger Men Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti
Result
1:2
03/05/2024 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Mangione A. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
70%57%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (32/57)66% (33/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (8/24)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
34% (17/50)44% (25/57)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)67% (16/24)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)55% (6/11)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
49% (40/81)56% (49/87)
Return Points Won
44% (38/87)51% (41/81)
Total Points Won
46% (78/168)54% (90/168)
Max Games In Row
510
Service Games Won
45% (5/11)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)55% (6/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Nuno Borges
34.2%
Lorenzo Musetti
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuno Borges's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Musetti's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuno Borges, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.2)

    1.43
    (1.62)
    6.7%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti?
  • Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Borges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Borges won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Nuno Borges - Lorenzo Musetti 2:0
    Latest results of Nuno Borges
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Bye
    2Fognini F. (RET.) (Alt)Coria F.0 : 1
    3Daniel T.Ugo Carabelli C. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Tirante T. A.Darderi L. (8)1 : 2
    5Navone M. (3)Bye
    6Mochizuki S. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    7De Jong J. (Q)Nava E. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Michelsen A.Sonego L. (5)1 : 2
    9Fucsovics M. (6)Zeppieri G. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    10Piros Z. (Alt)Svajda Z. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Galan D. E.Albot R. (Alt)2 : 1
    12ByeEubanks C. (4)
    13Borges N. (7)Maestrelli F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Varillas J. P. (Alt)Nishioka Y.0 : 2
    15Diallo G. (Q)Cerundolo J. M. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Coria F.0 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Darderi L. (8)0 : 2
    3Navone M. (3)Mochizuki S.2 : 1
    4Nava E.Sonego L. (5)2 : 0
    5Fucsovics M. (6)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    6Galan D. E.Eubanks C. (4)2 : 1
    7Borges N. (7)Nishioka Y.2 : 1
    8Cerundolo J. M.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Coria F. (RET.)Darderi L. (8)0 : 1
    2Navone M. (3)Nava E.2 : 1
    3Fucsovics M. (6)Galan D. E. (WO.)
    4Borges N. (7)Musetti L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (8)Navone M. (3)0 : 2
    2Galan D. E.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (3)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0