Nuova Cosenza vs Brescia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 33
  • Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.48
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
83% (364/438)71% (185/261)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.00
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
86
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3916
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
83% (364/438)71% (185/261)
Long passes
49% (21/43)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
78% (135/174)60% (55/92)
Crosses
33% (15/45)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.530.48
Fouls
1217
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (8/16)
Duels won
6352
Clearances Total
2843
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.31
Goals prevented
0.000.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Florenzi A. (Own goal),
  • 38', Cistana A. 🟥,
  • 45+1', Venturi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cimino B. , Ciervo R. ,
  • 46', Cruz J. M. , Mazzocchi S. ,
  • 58', Florenzi A. 🟨,
  • 62', Corrado N. , Jallow A. ,
  • 67', Florenzi A. , Fumagalli T. ,
  • 71', Borrelli G. , Juric A. ,
  • 72', Besaggio M. , Calvani G. ,
  • 80', Venturi M. , Zilli M. ,
  • 83', Juric A. 🟨,
  • 84', Rizzo Pinna A. , Kouan C. ,
  • 88', Nuamah P. 🟨,
  • 88', Bertagnoli M. , Galazzi N. ,
  • 89', Nuamah P. , Bjarnason B. ,
  • 90+1', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Zilli M. , Dalle Mura C. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/5n8zhanz

Chances of winning


Nuova Cosenza
33.8%
Draw
30.6%
Brescia
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.6% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 30% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Nuova Cosenza - Brescia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.57)
    3.06
    (3.16)
    2.64
    (2.75)
    7%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - Brescia?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Brescia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2.
    • Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brescia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brescia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Cosenza: Caporale A. (Inactive) Garritano L. (Calf Injury) Kourfalidis C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Brescia: Cistana A. (Inactive) Fogliata R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brescia: Olzer G. (Inactive)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:22 (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - Brescia were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Brescia - Nuova Cosenza 2:3
    01.04.2024 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:2
    03.09.2023 Brescia - Nuova Cosenza 1:0
    01.06.2023 Brescia - Nuova Cosenza 1:1
    25.05.2023 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:0
    Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
    05.04.2025 Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza 2:2
    29.03.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Pisa 0:3
    07.03.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Reggiana 1:0
    02.03.2025 Modena - Nuova Cosenza 1:1
    23.02.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Palermo 0:3
    Latest results of Brescia
    05.04.2025 Brescia - Mantova 1:2
    28.03.2025 Spezia - Brescia 0:1
    15.03.2025 Frosinone - Brescia 2:1
    08.03.2025 Brescia - Cesena 1:1
    02.03.2025 Palermo - Brescia 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia ✔ 372310475:314479
    2Frosinone372212371:343778
    3Monza37229659:302975
    4Palermo372012561:313072
    5Catanzaro ✔ 371514860:481259
    6Modena ✔ 3715101249:351455
    7Juve Stabia ✔ 371117943:44-150
    8Avellino3712101542:55-1346
    9Cesena3712101542:52-1046
    10Mantova371371745:52-746
    11Carrarese3710141346:50-444
    12Sampdoria3711111535:47-1244
    13Padova3711101635:46-1143
    14Empoli379131545:52-740
    15Sudtirol378161337:47-1040
    16Entella379121634:50-1639
    17Bari379101835:58-2337
    18Pescara377131750:65-1534
    19Spezia378101942:58-1634
    20Reggiana378101935:56-2134

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)