Catania vs Nuova Cosenza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
80
Shots on target
30
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
80
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
50
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Jimenez K. ,
  • 45+1', Celli A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Garritano L. , Ba R. ,
  • 52', Ba R. 🟨,
  • 55', Casasola T. 🟨,
  • 55', Emmausso M. 🟨,
  • 64', D'Ausilio M. , Lunetta G. ,
  • 65', Rolfini A. , Caturano S. ,
  • 72', Allegretto A. , Ierardi M. ,
  • 73', Corbari A. , Di Noia G. ,
  • 73', Beretta G. , Mazzulla A. ,
  • 73', Ricciardi M. , Achour S. ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Lunetta G. ,
  • 82', Jimenez K. , Bruzzaniti G. ,
  • 86', Emmausso M. , Rocco A. ,
  • 86', Dametto P. , Contiero L. ,

Chances of winning


Catania
54.1%
Draw
29%
Nuova Cosenza
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.4% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 26.3% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Catania - Nuova Cosenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.75)
    3.15
    (3.35)
    5.39
    (4.57)
    9.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Catania - Nuova Cosenza?
  • Users Predictions: Catania will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Catania will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 1.
    • Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Cosenza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Catania will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Catania won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Nuova Cosenza were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Catania 4:1
    Latest results of Catania
    18.01.2026 Monopoli - Catania 1:2
    11.01.2026 Catania - Cavese 2:0
    04.01.2026 Foggia - Catania 1:1
    21.12.2025 Catania - Atalanta U23 2:0
    14.12.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:1
    Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
    19.01.2026 Nuova Cosenza - Crotone 0:2
    05.01.2026 Nuova Cosenza - Monopoli 0:2
    19.12.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Cavese 2:1
    13.12.2025 Trapani - Nuova Cosenza 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento ✔ 35255571:244780
    2Catania351911552:213168
    3Cosenza35189855:361963
    4Casertana35188950:401062
    5Salernitana35179943:39460
    6Crotone351671253:341955
    7Monopoli3514101136:37-152
    8Audace Cerignola3514101146:47-152
    9Casarano351481349:54-550
    10Potenza3511111348:53-544
    11Altamura3511101430:43-1343
    12Atalanta U233510101549:48140
    13Cavese358131433:40-737
    14Sorrento359101638:51-1337
    15Picerno358121539:52-1336
    16Latina358121527:40-1336
    17Giugliano35971932:49-1734
    18Foggia35682126:55-2926
    19Trapani351391344:49-523
    20Siracusa35971944:53-923

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B