Result
0:3
05/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : 2. Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (337/392) | 90% (530/590) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (337/392) | 90% (530/590) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 61% (14/23) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (46/65) | 83% (180/216) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.45 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 47% (15/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
- 9', Janisch T. 🟨,
- 9', Dompe J. 🟨,
- 16', Antiste J. 🟥,
- 23', Seidel N. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Dompe J. ⚽, Reis L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Jander C. 🟨,
- 57', Schleimer L. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
- 58', Karafiat O. ↓, Forkel D. ↑,
- 63', Lubach R. 🟨,
- 63', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
- 64', Karabec A. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
- 76', Yilmaz B. ↓, Danilo Soares ↑,
- 76', Lubach R. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
- 78', Emreli M. 🟨,
- 81', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 81', Muheim M. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
- 84', Janisch T. ↓, Villadsen O. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Glatzel R. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
- 87', Dompe J. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 88', Reis L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
25.1% | Draw
23.8% | Hamburger SV
51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger SV's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nürnberg - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↑
(3.16) |
3.94 ↑
(3.76) |
1.85 ↓
(2.08) |
5.9%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Hamburger SV?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 51.5% – 92.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 0.
- Recent matches Nürnberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Hamburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Hamburg will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Castrop J.
(Yellow Cards)
Knoche R.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B.
(Knee Injury)
Katterbach N.
(Knee Injury)
Raab M.
(Broken Hand)
Soumahoro A.
(Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Nürnberg: Tzimas S.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Hamburg: Dompe J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Hadzikadunic D.
(Injury)
Meffert J.
(Broken nose)
Selke D.
(Illness)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:41 (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:19 (average 0.7:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Hamburger SV?
Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Nürnberg?
Hamburger SV has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Hamburger SV were as follows:
03.11.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Nürnberg
1:1
19.05.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Nürnberg
4:1
16.12.2023
Nürnberg
-
Hamburger SV
0:2
04.03.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Nürnberg
3:0
27.08.2022
Nürnberg
-
Hamburger SV
0:2
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Schalke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Nürnberg - Hamburger SV?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
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