Nürnberg vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
0:3
05/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.76
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
924
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
86% (337/392)90% (530/590)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.422.81
Total shots
924
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
313
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
821
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2045
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
105
Passes
86% (337/392)90% (530/590)
Long passes
49% (22/45)61% (14/23)
Passes in final third
71% (46/65)83% (180/216)
Crosses
36% (4/11)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.502.45
Fouls
510
Tackles
50% (10/20)47% (15/32)
Duels won
4856
Clearances Total
3123
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.810.42
Goals prevented
-0.190.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
  • 9', Janisch T. 🟨,
  • 9', Dompe J. 🟨,
  • 16', Antiste J. 🟥,
  • 23', Seidel N. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 2, Dompe J. ⚽, Reis L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Jander C. 🟨,
  • 57', Schleimer L. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
  • 58', Karafiat O. ↓, Forkel D. ↑,
  • 63', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 63', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 64', Karabec A. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
  • 76', Yilmaz B. ↓, Danilo Soares ↑,
  • 76', Lubach R. ↓, Flick F. ↑,
  • 78', Emreli M. 🟨,
  • 81', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 81', Muheim M. ↓, Hefti S. ↑,
  • 84', Janisch T. ↓, Villadsen O. ↑,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Glatzel R. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
  • 87', Dompe J. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
  • 88', Reis L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
25.1%		Draw
23.8%		Hamburger SV
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 25% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 25.1% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger SV's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Nürnberg - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.16)    		 3.94 ↑
    (3.76)    		 1.85 ↓
    (2.08)    		 5.9%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Hamburg will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 51.5% – 92.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamburger SV will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 0.
    • Recent matches Nürnberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hamburg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hamburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Hamburg will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Castrop J. (Yellow Cards) Knoche R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Soumahoro A. (Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Tzimas S. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Hadzikadunic D. (Injury) Meffert J. (Broken nose) Selke D. (Illness)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 15:41 (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:19 (average 0.7:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Hamburger SV - Nürnberg 1:1
    19.05.2024 Hamburger SV - Nürnberg 4:1
    16.12.2023 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:2
    04.03.2023 Hamburger SV - Nürnberg 3:0
    27.08.2022 Nürnberg - Hamburger SV 0:2
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    30.03.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    16.03.2025 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 3:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Preußen Münster - Nürnberg 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 1:2 ✺
    21.02.2025 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    28.03.2025 Hamburger SV - Elversberg 0:0 ✺
    14.03.2025 Magdeburg - Hamburger SV 0:3 ✺
    08.03.2025 Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf 4:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Paderborn - Hamburger SV 2:0 ✺
    21.02.2025 Hamburger SV - Kaiserslautern 3:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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