Hertha Berlin vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.860.88
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
51
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
36
Passes
84% (376/449)79% (289/365)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.860.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.970.49
Total shots
145
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1311
Passes
84% (376/449)79% (289/365)
Long passes
34% (16/47)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
72% (66/92)62% (53/86)
Crosses
20% (4/20)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.02
Throw ins
1828
Fouls
1113
Tackles
85% (17/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
5341
Clearances
3025
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
02
xGOT faced
0.490.97
Goals prevented
-0.51-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Brekalo J. , Dudziak J. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Baack T. , von der Hitz J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', von der Hitz J. , Janisch T. ,
  • 62', Grimaldi A. , Scobel P. ,
  • 64', Sessa K. , Cuisance M. ,
  • 64', Reese F. , Winkler M. ,
  • 64', Kownacki D. , Schuler L. ,
  • 76', Kolbe N. , Eitschberger J. ,
  • 76', Nzingoula R. , Biron M. ,
  • 79', Gruber F. 🟨,
  • 83', Dudziak J. , Gronning S. ,
  • 86', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Brekalo J. ,

Chances of winning


Hertha Berlin
43.5%
Draw
26.8%
Nürnberg
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 24.3% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.6% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.95)
    3.5
    (3.88)
    3.17
    (3.47)
    6.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 16.1%74.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2.
    • Recent form of Hertha has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nürnberg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hertha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3
    21.02.2025 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 0:0
    21.09.2024 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 0:2
    30.03.2024 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 3:3
    22.10.2023 Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin 3:1
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    22.02.2026 Paderborn - Hertha Berlin 5:2
    14.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Hannover 2:3
    10.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Freiburg 1:2
    07.02.2026 Elversberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3
    01.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 2:2
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    20.02.2026 Bochum - Nürnberg 1:1
    13.02.2026 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1
    07.02.2026 Paderborn - Nürnberg 2:1
    23.01.2026 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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