Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 78% (221/285) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 78% (221/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 56% (31/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (74/121) | 61% (47/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 67% (6/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.56 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Winkler M. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
- 37', Markhiev A. ↓, Stepanov A. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 2, Cuisance M. ⚽,
- 45+5', Reese F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
- 59', Dardai M. 🟨,
- 63', Eichhorn K. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
- 63', Gronning S. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
- 70', Demba P. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 70', Lochoshvili L. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
- 77', Drexler T. 🟨,
- 82', Cuisance M. ↓, Mamuzah Lum B. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 3, Kownacki D. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
- 89', Dardai M. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
- 89', Zoma M. A. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
- 90', Becker F. O. ↓, Grzywacz E. ↑,
- 90', Kownacki D. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
- 90+2', Grzywacz E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
37.3% | Draw
26.7% | Hertha Berlin
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hertha Berlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hertha Berlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(3.1) |
3.75 ↑
(3.5) |
2.66 ↑
(2.1) |
0.3%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hertha will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1.
- Nürnberg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hertha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T.
(Foot Injury)
Maboulou N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J.
(Ankle Injury)
Demme D.
(Head Injury)
Gersbeck M.
(Injury)
Goller T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Karbownik M.
(Ankle Injury)
Klemens P.
(Ankle Injury)
Kolbe N.
(Broken rib)
Seguin P.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Hertha: Kownacki D.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Hertha Berlin?
Nürnberg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hertha Berlin won against Nürnberg?
Hertha Berlin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
21.02.2025
Hertha Berlin
-
Nürnberg
0:0
21.09.2024
Nürnberg
-
Hertha Berlin
0:2
30.03.2024
Hertha Berlin
-
Nürnberg
3:3
22.10.2023
Nürnberg
-
Hertha Berlin
3:1
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Hannover | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
