Köln vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Women Köln - Nürnberg
Result
3:4
23/03/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA WOMEN - ROUND 17
  • Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.951.85
Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
1611
Shots on Goal
95
Shots off Goal
76
Free Kicks
1523
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
42
Throw-ins
4630
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Yellow Cards
43
Attacks
9878
Dangerous Attacks
9548

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Hechler J. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Schmidt L. (Pen),
  • 32', Hechler J. , Donhauser L. ,
  • 40', Thole A. 🟨,
  • 41', Steck M. 🟨,
  • 42', Vogt L. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Zeller D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Haim V. , Arfaoui A. (A),
  • 54', 0 - 3, Degen C. (Own goal),
  • 58', Thole A. , Mailbeck A. ,
  • 61', Gerhardt A. , Padilla N. ,
  • 61', Wamser C. , Bienz A. ,
  • 67', Haim V. , Lein N. ,
  • 67', Arfaoui A. , Bauereisen N. ,
  • 75', Zeller D. , Cerci S. ,
  • 75', Vogt L. , Messmer M. ,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Cerci S. ,
  • 84', Magnusdottir S. 🟨,
  • 87', Magnusdottir S. , Felix L. ,
  • 88', Steck M. , Leskinen D. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Degen C. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Padilla N. , Wiankowska M. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 4, Desic M. ,
  • 90+5', Schimmer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Köln
58.9%
Draw
23.9%
Nürnberg
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 18.7% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 11.4% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln's form might have worsened.
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Köln - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.3)
    3.84
    (4.8)
    5.35
    (7.45)
    9.1%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Köln is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nürnberg has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Köln is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Köln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Köln - Nürnberg were as follows:
    05.11.2023 Nürnberg - Köln 1:3
    Latest results of Köln
    10.03.2024 Köln - Werder Bremen 2:1
    18.02.2024 MSV Duisburg - Köln 0:0
    10.02.2024 Köln - Bayern Munich 0:5
    03.02.2024 RB Leipzig - Köln 2:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    17.03.2024 Nürnberg - Freiburg 0:0
    09.03.2024 TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg 2:0
    17.02.2024 Nürnberg - Wolfsburg 1:9
    03.02.2024 Werder Bremen - Nürnberg 4:0
    German Bundesliga Women Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich W22192156:134359
    2Wolfsburg W22163357:183951
    3Eintracht Frankfurt W22162468:224650
    4Bayer Leverkusen W22134538:211743
    5Freiburg W22115634:31338
    6Hoffenheim W221201049:301936
    7Werder Bremen W22921128:39-1129
    8RB Leipzig W22831130:40-1027
    9SGS Essen W22551221:30-920
    10Koln W22351418:51-3314
    11Jena W2224167:43-3610
    12Potsdam W2201215:73-681

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women