Paderborn vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.730.71
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
73
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
65
Passes
82% (332/403)79% (258/326)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.730.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.760.18
Total shots
157
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free kicks
1416
Passes
82% (332/403)79% (258/326)
Long passes
55% (24/44)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
70% (101/144)58% (30/52)
Crosses
44% (7/16)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.50
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
1614
Tackles
68% (21/31)43% (6/14)
Duels won
7358
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
188
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.182.76
Goals prevented
-0.820.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Klaas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Curda L. ,
  • 31', Janisch T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Janisch T. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 52', Lubach R. 🟥,
  • 57', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 65', Scobel P. , Maboulou N. ,
  • 65', Justvan J. , Nzingoula R. ,
  • 66', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 66', Michel S. , Batzner N. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Lochoshvili L. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 75', Klaas S. , Copado L. ,
  • 79', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 83', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Marino S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Castaneda S. , Kinsombi D. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
48.2%
Draw
26.2%
Nürnberg
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 25.2% 24%

Paderborn - Nürnberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.95
(1.82)
3.57
(3.67)
3.67
(3.86)
6.5%
(8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Nürnberg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paderborn is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Brackelmann C. (Concussion) Hansen M. (Red Card) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Gruber F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Okpala K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Nürnberg were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    23.01.2026 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0
    17.01.2026 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2
    21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1
    14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

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