Paderborn vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn).

2. Bundesliga - Round 21
Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.73	0.71
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	5
Passes
82% (332/403)	79% (258/326)
Yellow cards
2	3
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.73	0.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.76	0.18
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
4	1
Shots inside the box
7	5
Shots outside the box
8	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
43	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	2
Free kicks
14	16
Passes
82% (332/403)	79% (258/326)
Long passes
55% (24/44)	54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
70% (101/144)	58% (30/52)
Crosses
44% (7/16)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.50
Throw ins
22	27
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
68% (21/31)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
73	58
Clearances
22	29
Interceptions
18	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.18	2.76
Goals prevented
-0.82	0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Klaas S. (Penalty Awarded),
29', 2 - 0, Curda L. ⚽,
31', Janisch T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Janisch T. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
52', Lubach R. 🟥,
57', Markhiev A. 🟨,
65', Scobel P. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
65', Justvan J. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
66', Tigges S. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
66', Michel S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Lochoshvili L. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
75', Klaas S. ↓, Copado L. ↑,
79', Obermair R. 🟨,
83', Becker F. O. 🟨,
90+3', Marino S. 🟨,
90+6', Castaneda S. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Paderborn
48.2%

Draw
26.2%

Nürnberg
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Paderborn - Nürnberg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)	3.57 ↓ (3.67)	3.67 ↓ (3.86)	6.5% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Paderborn - Nürnberg?

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Paderborn is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Brackelmann C. (Concussion) Hansen M. (Red Card) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nürnberg: Gruber F. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Paderborn: Okpala K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Nürnberg: Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Nürnberg?

Paderborn has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Paderborn?

Nürnberg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Nürnberg were as follows:

29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0

19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3

22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2

19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2

11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3

Latest results of Paderborn

01.02.2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn 2:1 ✺

25.01.2026 Paderborn - Preußen Münster 2:1 ✺

18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Paderborn - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Nürnberg

30.01.2026 Nürnberg - Preußen Münster 1:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

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