Nürnberg vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
29/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
israelIsraelSport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, SportKlub 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.19
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
83% (322/390)81% (356/439)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.70
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
912
Passes
83% (322/390)81% (356/439)
Long passes
39% (17/44)65% (28/43)
Passes in final third
74% (80/108)59% (58/98)
Crosses
8% (2/24)67% (14/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.99
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1210
Tackles
87% (13/15)75% (18/24)
Duels won
5068
Clearances
2230
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.701.11
Goals prevented
-0.301.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Telalovic S. 🟨,
  • 43', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Engelns L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Janisch T. , Biron M. ,
  • 60', Hoffmeier M. 🟨,
  • 63', Tigges S. , Copado L. ,
  • 63', Engelns L. , Klaas S. ,
  • 67', Baur M. , Batzner N. ,
  • 67', Bilbija F. , Michel S. ,
  • 70', Gruber F. 🟨,
  • 72', Justvan J. 🟨,
  • 76', Telalovic S. , Stepanov A. ,
  • 84', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hoffmeier M. , Worner M. ,
  • 90+5', Becker F. O. , Baack T. ,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
29.9%
Draw
26%
Paderborn
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 25% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 24.1% 48.2%

Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.17
(3.3)
3.61
(3.78)
2.14
(2.03)
6.1%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.2%92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2.
    • Nürnberg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Paderborn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Janisch T. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Scheller T. (Red Card) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Tigges S. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    28.05.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 0:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke18122422:101238
    2Elversberg18104433:181534
    3Darmstadt1897232:201234
    4Paderborn18103528:20833
    5Kaiserslautern1893632:221030
    6Hannover1885531:25629
    7Hertha Berlin1885521:16529
    8Nurnberg1874722:25-325
    9Karlsruher SC1874727:33-625
    10Holstein Kiel1865722:22023
    11Bochum1864826:25122
    12Magdeburg18621024:29-520
    13Preussen Munster1855822:28-620
    14Dusseldorf18621016:27-1120
    15Braunschweig18621020:32-1220
    16Arminia Bielefeld1854927:25219
    17SG Dynamo Dresden18441026:34-816
    18Greuther Furth18431126:46-2015

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga