Result
2:3
19/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | New World Sport 1 |
Asia | TOD |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | New World TV |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
3 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
89% (501/562) | 87% (338/390) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.73 | 1.52 |
Total shots |
---|
3 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
6 | 28 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
89% (501/562) | 87% (338/390) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (16/35) | 65% (31/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (56/76) | 74% (88/119) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 35% (6/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 1.40 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (14/21) | 50% (11/22) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 49 |
Clearances Total |
---|
14 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.52 | 1.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.48 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Emreli M. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
- 18', Castrop J. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 1, Scheller T. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
- 41', Ansah I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. ⚽, Zehnter A. (A),
- 65', Grimaldi A. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 66', Karafiat O. ↓, Forkel D. ↑,
- 70', Obermair R. 🟨,
- 73', Mehlem M. ↓, Curda L. ↑,
- 74', Scheller T. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 3, Michel S. ⚽,
- 81', Justvan J. 🟨,
- 81', Lubach R. 🟨,
- 86', Ansah I. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 86', Obermair R. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
- 86', Bilbija F. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 88', Janisch T. ↓, Villadsen O. ↑,
- 88', Jander C. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
- 88', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Emreli M. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
- 90+4', Terho C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg 27.2% | Draw 25.3% | Paderborn 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.48 ↑ (3.42) |
3.73 ↑ (3.6) |
1.99 ↓ (2.02) |
5.7% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Nürnberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Paderborn will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Antiste J.
(Red Card)
Knoche R.
(Calf Injury)
Tzimas S.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C.
(Muscle Injury)
Castaneda S.
(Red Card)
Platte F.
(Back Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Paderborn?
Nürnberg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Nürnberg?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
22.11.2024
Paderborn
-
Nürnberg
3:2
19.04.2024
Nürnberg
-
Paderborn
0:2
11.11.2023
Paderborn
-
Nürnberg
1:3
28.05.2023
Paderborn
-
Nürnberg
0:1
13.11.2022
Nürnberg
-
Paderborn
2:1
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Darmstadt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Karlsruher SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Schalke | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Paderborn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Elversberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Preussen Munster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Nurnberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Bochum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga