Result
0:0
29/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 4
- Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5, SportKlub 7 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.99 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
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14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 5 |
Passes |
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83% (322/390) | 81% (356/439) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.99 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.11 | 0.70 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
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8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 12 |
Passes |
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83% (322/390) | 81% (356/439) |
Long passes |
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39% (17/44) | 65% (28/43) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (80/108) | 59% (58/98) |
Crosses |
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8% (2/24) | 67% (14/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.99 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 10 |
Tackles |
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87% (13/15) | 75% (18/24) |
Duels won |
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50 | 68 |
Clearances |
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22 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.70 | 1.11 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.30 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Telalovic S. 🟨,
- 43', Gotze F. 🟨,
- 45+4', Engelns L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Janisch T. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
- 60', Hoffmeier M. 🟨,
- 63', Tigges S. ↓, Copado L. ↑,
- 63', Engelns L. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
- 67', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 67', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 70', Gruber F. 🟨,
- 72', Justvan J. 🟨,
- 76', Telalovic S. ↓, Stepanov A. ↑,
- 84', Michel S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Hoffmeier M. ↓, Worner M. ↑,
- 90+5', Becker F. O. ↓, Baack T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg 29.9% | Draw 26% | Paderborn 44.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↓ (3.3) |
3.61 ↓ (3.78) |
2.14 ↑ (2.03) |
6.1% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2.
- Nürnberg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paderborn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nürnberg: Janisch T.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kinsombi D.
(Thigh Injury)
Muller R.
(Muscle Injury)
Scheller T.
(Red Card)
Vega Zambrano J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Tigges S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 2.16.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Paderborn?
Nürnberg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Nürnberg?
Paderborn has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
19.04.2025
Nürnberg
-
Paderborn
2:3
22.11.2024
Paderborn
-
Nürnberg
3:2
19.04.2024
Nürnberg
-
Paderborn
0:2
11.11.2023
Paderborn
-
Nürnberg
1:3
28.05.2023
Paderborn
-
Nürnberg
0:1
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Hannover | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
3 | Schalke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Elversberg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Paderborn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Darmstadt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Preussen Munster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Braunschweig | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Dusseldorf | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
13 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Bochum | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
16 | Magdeburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Nurnberg | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga