Nürnberg vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Nürnberg - Paderborn
Result
2:3
19/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
316
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
89% (501/562)87% (338/390)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.731.52
Total shots
316
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
09
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
628
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
89% (501/562)87% (338/390)
Long passes
46% (16/35)65% (31/48)
Passes in final third
74% (56/76)74% (88/119)
Crosses
18% (2/11)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.40
Fouls
1017
Tackles
67% (14/21)50% (11/22)
Duels won
4349
Clearances Total
1410
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.521.73
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Emreli M. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 18', Castrop J. , Schleimer L. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Scheller T. , Obermair R. (A),
  • 41', Ansah I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ansah I. , Zehnter A. (A),
  • 65', Grimaldi A. , Michel S. ,
  • 66', Karafiat O. , Forkel D. ,
  • 70', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 73', Mehlem M. , Curda L. ,
  • 74', Scheller T. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Michel S. ,
  • 81', Justvan J. 🟨,
  • 81', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 86', Ansah I. , Terho C. ,
  • 86', Obermair R. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 86', Bilbija F. , Engelns L. ,
  • 88', Janisch T. , Villadsen O. ,
  • 88', Jander C. , Serra J. ,
  • 88', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Emreli M. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 90+4', Terho C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nürnberg
27.2%
Draw
25.3%
Paderborn
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 26.1% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 25.9% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Nürnberg - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.42)
    3.73
    (3.6)
    1.99
    (2.02)
    5.7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 3.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Nürnberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Paderborn will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Antiste J. (Red Card) Knoche R. (Calf Injury) Tzimas S. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Muscle Injury) Castaneda S. (Red Card) Platte F. (Back Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:13 (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Paderborn were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    28.05.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 0:1
    13.11.2022 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:1
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arminia Bielefeld22007:166
    2Darmstadt22005:146
    3Hannover22003:036
    4Braunschweig22004:226
    5Elversberg32013:306
    6Karlsruher SC21103:214
    7Paderborn21103:214
    8Preussen Munster31115:504
    9Greuther Furth21015:503
    10Magdeburg21012:203
    11Schalke21012:203
    12Bochum21013:4-13
    13Kaiserslautern31022:3-13
    14Hertha Berlin20111:2-11
    15SG Dynamo Dresden20023:5-20
    16Holstein Kiel20021:4-30
    17Nurnberg30031:4-30
    18Dusseldorf20021:7-60

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