Result
1:2
20/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 14
- Referee: Wildfeuer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (142/266) | 70% (285/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 3.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (142/266) | 70% (285/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/75) | 25% (17/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (41/102) | 57% (44/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.17 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', Steinert J. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Campbell E. ⚽,
- 38', 0 - 2, Heiseler L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', 1 - 2, Polaskova A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Halverkamps A. ↓, Bauereisen N. ↑,
- 60', Polaskova A. ↓, Baumgartel J. ↑,
- 60', Svensson K. ↓, Homann S. ↑,
- 63', Steinert J. ↓, Orschmann K. ↑,
- 74', Orschmann D. ↓, Heikkinen I. ↑,
- 76', Wos O. 🟨,
- 78', Meroni L. ↓, Licina S. ↑,
- 83', Wos O. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑,
- 83', Guttenberger L. ↓, Gambone A. ↑,
- 90+2', Heiseler L. ↓, Reissner N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nürnberg
21.4% | Draw
23.5% | Union Berlin
55.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Berlin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nürnberg - Union Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.26 ↑
(3.49) |
3.88 ↑
(3.55) |
1.66 ↓
(1.85) |
9.6%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Union Berlin?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nürnberg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
- In recent matches, Nürnberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union Berlin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union Berlin is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Nürnberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Union Berlin?
Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against Nürnberg?
Union Berlin has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Union Berlin were as follows:
07.09.2025
Union Berlin
-
Nürnberg
1:1
01.09.2024
Nürnberg
-
Union Berlin
0:0
Latest results of Nürnberg
Latest results of Union Berlin
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 71:6 | 65 | 52 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 53:26 | 27 | 38 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim W | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:23 | 10 | 32 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 29:28 | 1 | 31 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Koln W | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30:38 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:41 | -25 | 12 |
| 14 | Jena W | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 16:48 | -32 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
