Geelong United vs NW Tasmania Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:97
15/06/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South

Chances of winning


Geelong United
69.9%
NW Tasmania Thunder
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.1% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong United's performance.
  • NW Tasmania Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NW Tasmania Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NW Tasmania Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NW Tasmania Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Geelong United - NW Tasmania Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.42)

    3.09
    (2.53)
    7.6%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 170.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4.
    • Recent form of Geelong has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NW Tasmania is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Geelong has had a series of away games.
    • Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1172:1047. (average 90.2:80.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 522:485. (average 87:80.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong United - NW Tasmania Thunder were as follows:
    25.04.2025 NW Tasmania Thunder - Geelong United 82:86
    25.05.2024 Geelong United - NW Tasmania Thunder 81:89
    13.05.2023 NW Tasmania Thunder - Geelong United 72:98
    Latest results of Geelong United
    Latest results of NW Tasmania Thunder
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Dandenong220193:1621.000
    2Kilsyth220170:1401.000
    3Knox220206:1801.000
    4Bendigo Braves220172:1481.000
    5Hobart Chargers220174:1691.000
    6Nunawading321284:2230.667
    7Frankston211187:1760.500
    8Keilor Thunder211181:1730.500
    9Ballarat211191:1860.500
    10Melbourne Tigers211171:1690.500
    11Sandringham Sabres211167:1660.500
    12Waverley211157:1590.500
    13Eltham211156:1590.500
    14Mt Gambier211175:1930.500
    15Diamond Valley202163:1880.000
    16Geelong202131:1570.000
    17Casey Cavaliers202173:2050.000
    18Ringwood303250:2920.000
    19Northern Tasmania202148:2040.000

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