Obolon vs Livyi Bereh Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaGONET.TV
czech-republicCzech-republicgoNET TV
polandPolandGONETV
slovakiaSlovakiagoNET TV
spainSpainLaLiga+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
97
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
127
Fouls
714
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Grusha V. ,
  • 54', Synytsya O. , Shastal D. ,
  • 54', Sukhoruchko D. , Kobzar B. ,
  • 54', Kogut M. , Diego ,
  • 59', Grysyo M. 🟨,
  • 59', Bychek K. , Ustymenko D. ,
  • 59', Teslyuk D. , Taranukha R. ,
  • 73', Kurko V. , Slobodyan O. ,
  • 73', Grysyo M. , Sukhanov S. ,
  • 77', Kosovskyi S. , Riznyk A. ,
  • 83', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
  • 84', Pryimak V. , Lomnytskyi A. ,
  • 89', Sokolov O. , Voytsekhovskiy V. ,

Chances of winning


Obolon
38.8%
Draw
37.2%
Livyi Bereh Kyiv
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 25.7% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Livyi Bereh Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livyi Bereh Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.17)
    2.53
    (3.1)
    3.93
    (3.41)
    6.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Obolon will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Obolon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation))
    • Obolon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Livyi Bereh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Obolon could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Obolon: Ilyin O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Livyi Bereh: Astakhov E. (Collarbone injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon 1:1
    02.06.2024 Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon 1:1
    29.05.2024 Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1:0
    Latest results of Obolon
    17.05.2025 Kryvbas - Obolon 1:0
    10.05.2025 Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy 0:0
    03.05.2025 Veres Rivne - Obolon 0:2
    26.04.2025 Obolon - Karpaty Lviv 2:2
    18.04.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Obolon 3:0
    Latest results of Livyi Bereh Kyiv
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk18125146:123441
    2LNZ Cherkasy18122423:111238
    3Polissya Zhytomyr18113431:121936
    4Dyn. Kyiv1895440:211932
    5Kryvbas1886431:25630
    6Metalist 19251777319:12728
    7Kolos Kovalivka1877418:15328
    8FK Zorya Luhansk1866622:23-124
    9Veres-Rivne1756616:20-421
    10Obolon1755713:27-1420
    11Rukh Lviv18611115:25-1019
    12Karpaty Lviv1847720:25-519
    13Kudrivka1854923:32-919
    14Epitsentr18421218:33-1514
    15Oleksandriya17251014:29-1511
    16SC Poltava18231316:43-279

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga