Obolon vs Livyi Bereh Kyiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30
  • Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaGONET.TV
czech-republicCzech-republicgoNET TV
polandPolandGONETV
slovakiaSlovakiagoNET TV
spainSpainLaLiga+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
97
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
73
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
127
Fouls
714
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Grusha V. ,
  • 54', Synytsya O. , Shastal D. ,
  • 54', Sukhoruchko D. , Kobzar B. ,
  • 54', Kogut M. , Diego ,
  • 59', Grysyo M. 🟨,
  • 59', Bychek K. , Ustymenko D. ,
  • 59', Teslyuk D. , Taranukha R. ,
  • 73', Kurko V. , Slobodyan O. ,
  • 73', Grysyo M. , Sukhanov S. ,
  • 77', Kosovskyi S. , Riznyk A. ,
  • 83', Yakymiv A. 🟨,
  • 84', Pryimak V. , Lomnytskyi A. ,
  • 89', Sokolov O. , Voytsekhovskiy V. ,

Chances of winning


Obolon
38.8%
Draw
37.2%
Livyi Bereh Kyiv
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 25.7% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Livyi Bereh Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Livyi Bereh Kyiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.17)
    2.53
    (3.1)
    3.93
    (3.41)
    6.1%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Obolon will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Obolon (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation))
    • Obolon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Livyi Bereh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Obolon could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Obolon: Ilyin O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Livyi Bereh: Astakhov E. (Collarbone injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon 1:1
    02.06.2024 Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Obolon 1:1
    29.05.2024 Obolon - Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1:0
    Latest results of Obolon
    17.05.2025 Kryvbas - Obolon 1:0
    10.05.2025 Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy 0:0
    03.05.2025 Veres Rivne - Obolon 0:2
    26.04.2025 Obolon - Karpaty Lviv 2:2
    18.04.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - Obolon 3:0
    Latest results of Livyi Bereh Kyiv
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LNZ Cherkasy21152430:121847
    2Shakhtar Donetsk20145148:123647
    3Polissya Zhytomyr21133536:142242
    4Dyn. Kyiv21125449:232641
    5Kryvbas2197533:28534
    6Metalist 19252097424:131134
    7Kolos Kovalivka2188520:20032
    8FK Zorya Luhansk2077627:24328
    9Karpaty Lviv2168729:26326
    10Obolon2166917:33-1624
    11Veres-Rivne2057816:24-822
    12Kudrivka21561024:35-1121
    13Epitsentr21621325:35-1020
    14Rukh Lviv21611416:32-1619
    15Oleksandriya21251414:40-2611
    16SC Poltava21231616:53-379

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga