Result
1:3
12/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Paskhal I. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Ustymenko D. ⚽, Ilyin O. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', Rashica E. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 1, Churko V. ⚽, Antyukh D. (A),
- 60', 1 - 2, Itodo P. ⚽, Antyukh D. (A),
- 63', Sukhanov S. ↓, Medynskyi I. ↑,
- 67', Ustymenko D. ↓, Teslyuk D. ↑,
- 68', Churko V. 🟨,
- 73', Itodo P. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
- 73', Churko V. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
- 77', Nesterenko I. ↓, Slobodyan O. ↑,
- 77', Ilyin O. ↓, Grysyo M. ↑,
- 85', Rashica E. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
- 90+2', Zabergja B. ↓, Martynyuk O. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Mba C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Obolon
26.2% | Draw
28.5% | Metalist 1925
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Metalist 1925 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist 1925 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Obolon - Metalist 1925 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↑
(3.53) |
3.29 ↓
(3.4) |
2.07 ↓
(2.08) |
6.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Obolon - Metalist 1925?
Users Predictions:
Metalist 1925 will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metalist 1925 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 1.
- Recent form of Obolon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Metalist 1925 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Metalist 1925 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Obolon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Obolon won against Metalist 1925?
Obolon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metalist 1925 won against Obolon?
Metalist 1925 has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Obolon - Metalist 1925 were as follows:
24.08.2025
Metalist 1925
-
Obolon
2:0
04.08.2025
Metalist 1925
-
Obolon
0:0
22.04.2024
Metalist 1925
-
Obolon
1:1
08.10.2023
Obolon
-
Metalist 1925
1:0
Latest results of Metalist 1925
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LNZ Cherkasy | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 47 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 47 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 36:14 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:23 | 26 | 41 |
| 5 | Kryvbas | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Metalist 1925 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 24:13 | 11 | 34 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 32 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Karpaty Lviv | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 26 |
| 10 | Obolon | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17:33 | -16 | 24 |
| 11 | Veres-Rivne | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Kudrivka | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:35 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Epitsentr | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 16:32 | -16 | 19 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14:40 | -26 | 11 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16:53 | -37 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
