Metalist 1925 vs Obolon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Cup Metalist 1925 - Obolon
24/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Metalist 1925
59.1%
Draw
23.3%
Obolon
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 27.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 28.4% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metalist 1925 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalist 1925's performance.
  • Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Obolon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist 1925 than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalist 1925 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Obolon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Metalist 1925 - Obolon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.83)
    3.98
    (3.3)
    5.27
    (3.71)
    7.9%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 0.
    • In recent matches, Metalist 1925 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Obolon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Metalist 1925 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Metalist 1925 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metalist 1925 - Obolon were as follows:
    04.08.2025 Metalist 1925 - Obolon 0:0
    22.04.2024 Metalist 1925 - Obolon 1:1
    08.10.2023 Obolon - Metalist 1925 1:0
    Latest results of Metalist 1925
    Latest results of Obolon
    15.08.2025 Rukh Lviv - Obolon 1:2
    10.08.2025 Obolon - Oleksandriya 1:0
    04.08.2025 Metalist 1925 - Obolon 0:0
    19.07.2025 Obolon - Veres Rivne 3:0
    19.07.2025 Obolon - Veres Rivne 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1Karbon CherkasyInhulets1 : 2
    2Kormil YavorivRukh Lviv
    3Podillya KhmelnytskyiSkala 19111 : 0
    4LNZ CherkasyProbiy Horodenka1 : 0
    5ViktoriaVorskla Poltava1 : 0
    6Ch. OdesaFK Zorya Luhansk2 : 1
    7Lokomotyv KyivKolos Kovalivka3 : 2
    8Dinaz VyshgorodAhrobiznes Volochysk
    9UzhhorodFenix Mariupol
    10Penuel Kryvyi RihKarpaty Lviv
    11Nyva VinnytsyaUCSA
    12Livyi BeregKudrivka
    13Metalist KharkivMayak Sarny2 : 0
    14IronSC Poltava1 : 5
    15FC VilkhivtsiOlympia Savyntsi1 : 2
    16Metalist 1925Obolon
    17LozovaBukovyna0 : 3
    18KorostenVeres-Rivne0 : 4
    19ChaikaLisne
    20FC ChernihivAtlet Kiev
    21Kolos PolonneNaftovyk Dolyna
    22Polissya StavkyRebel Kyiv
    23EpitsentrAhrotekh Tyshkivka1 : 2
    24Hirnyk-SportTrostyanets1 : 0
    25Denhoff DenykhivkaPrykarpattya3 : 2
    26KulikivKryvbas
    27FazendaSK Metalurh0 : 1
    28Real PharmaNyva Ternopil