Oceláři Třinec vs Energie Karlovy Vary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
07/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Extraliga - Round 39
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 4
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2927
Shots off target
1313
Shooting PCT
20.69% (6/29)11.11% (3/27)
Blocked shots
915
Goalkeeper Saves
2423
Saves PCT
88.89% (24/27)82.14% (23/28)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (2/2)
Hits
59
Faceoffs Won
3333
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 0)
  • 04:07, 1 - 0, Dano M. (G), Flynn O. (A), Kundratek T. (A2)
  • 05:37, 2 - 0, Kovarcik M. (G), Nestrasil A. (A),
  • 09:43, Hudacek L. (2 min),
  • 17:17, 3 - 0, Dravecky V. (G), Cienciala D. (A), Kurovsky D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:11, Kovarcik M. (2 min),
  • 06:30, Lukosik A. (2 min),
  • 10:34, 4 - 0, Dano M. (G),
  • 14:59, 5 - 0, Hudacek L. (G), Dano M. (A), Musil D. (A2)
  • 14:59, Frodl D. , Kral D. ,
  • 18:49, 5 - 1, Minarik J. (G), Koci M. (A), Egle H. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 09:38, Jones N. (2 min),
  • 14:38, 5 - 2, Stastny D. (G),
  • 17:33, Ruzicka Mart. (2 min),
  • 18:36, 5 - 3, Jones N. (G), Beranek O. (A), Egle H. (A2)
  • 18:53, 6 - 3, Kovarcik M. (G), Kovarcik O. (A),

Chances of winning


Oceláři Třinec
47.1%
Draw
22.9%
Energie Karlovy Vary
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 22.7% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 22.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oceláři Třinec's performance.
  • Energie Karlovy Vary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Energie Karlovy Vary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oceláři Třinec that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Karlovy Vary than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Energie Karlovy Vary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.36)
    4.22
    (4.1)
    3.14
    (2.47)
    3%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary?
  • Users Predictions: Oceláři Třinec will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oceláři Třinec will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 3.
    • Třinec is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Karlovy Vary has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Třinec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Třinec: Kubiesa M. (International duty) Nedomlel R. (Hand Injury) Sikora P. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Karlovy Vary: Malat S. (Injury) Redlich T. (Upper-Body Injury) Rulik A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karlovy Vary: Stastny D. (Hand Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 65:42. (average 3.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 3.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary were as follows:
    25.11.2025 Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec 2:1
    10.10.2025 Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec 1:3
    28.02.2025 Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec 2:0
    09.02.2025 Oceláři Třinec - Energie Karlovy Vary 2:1
    01.12.2024 Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec 2:3
    Latest results of Oceláři Třinec
    Latest results of Energie Karlovy Vary
    Czech Extraliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Pardubice47245711149:10689
    2Karlovy Vary47226415128:11782
    3Plzen47215813130:9781
    4Liberec47232814129:10881
    5Trinec47216317136:12078
    6Mountfield HK47208217124:11078
    7Sparta Prague46205417143:12174
    8Kometa Brno47185519125:13369
    9Vitkovice47174521122:14264
    10Ceske Budejovice47165521126:13563
    11Olomouc47183224110:13862
    12Kladno47155621114:12361
    13Mlada Boleslav4615542292:12259
    14Litvinov ✔ 47113429100:15643

          Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Extraliga (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Litvinov is Extraliga (Relegation)