Result
4:0
11/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Referee: Tzilos T. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/445) | 84% (369/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (376/445) | 84% (369/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (80/111) | 77% (103/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', Papadopoulos N. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Nuss T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 34', Triantafyllopoulos K. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Nuss T. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Triantafyllopoulos K. ↓, Ivanov R. ↑,
- 46', Alagbe O. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
- 46', Pomonis K. ↓, Sylla I. ↑,
- 56', Androutsos A. 🟨,
- 61', Chicco J. 🟥,
- 62', Shengelia L. ↓, Leya Iseka A. ↑,
- 63', Krizmanic K. ↓, Christopoulos G. ↑,
- 66', 3 - 0, Nuss T. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 70', Bartolo J. ↓, Tzandaris T. ↑,
- 70', Macheda F. ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
- 73', Apostolakis I. ↓, Karachalios Z. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalez B. ↓, Marinakis N. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 0, Nuss T. ⚽, Christogeorgos N. (A),
- 81', Nuss T. ↓, Theodosoulakis I. ↑,
- 90+1', Sipcic N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
OFI
36.9% | Draw
32.1% | Asteras Tripolis
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Asteras Tripolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFI than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
OFI - Asteras Tripolis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.74) |
2.92 ↑
(2.83) |
2.97 ↑
(2.84) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for OFI - Asteras Tripolis?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. OFI will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.8% – 88.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 10 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - OFI (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 10 - 90.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- OFI may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in OFI: Koutsoupias F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Asteras Tripolis: Alho N.
(Injury)
Sylla I.
(Personal Reasons)
Yablonskiy E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against Asteras Tripolis?
OFI has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Asteras Tripolis won against OFI?
Asteras Tripolis has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - Asteras Tripolis were as follows:
07.01.2026
OFI
-
Asteras Tripolis
2:0
03.11.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
OFI
3:0
26.04.2025
OFI
-
Asteras Tripolis
0:2
13.04.2025
Asteras Tripolis
-
OFI
2:1
02.04.2025
OFI
-
Asteras Tripolis
1:1
Latest results of Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
