Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 3
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/444) | 83% (365/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/444) | 83% (365/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (31/72) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (33/69) | 73% (102/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Baba A. R. (A),
- 24', 0 - 2, Pelkas D. ⚽, Ozdoev M. (A),
- 31', Karachalios Z. 🟨,
- 42', Baba A. R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Theodosoulakis I. ↓, Salcedo E. ↑,
- 66', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
- 67', Pelkas D. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
- 67', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 69', Fountas T. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 69', Karachalios Z. ↓, Neira J. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Nuss T. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 84', Salcedo E. 🟨,
- 89', Taison ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 89', Shengelia L. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
- 90+1', Nuss T. ↓, Faitakis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
OFI
13.1% | Draw
20.4% | PAOK
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFI's form might have worsened.PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OFI - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.53 ↑
(4.55) |
4.94 ↑
(3.6) |
1.5 ↓
(1.76) |
0.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for OFI - PAOK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
PAOK will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- No spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 2.
- OFI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- OFI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, OFI has had a series of away games.
- In this match, PAOK is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:52. (average 0.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against PAOK?
OFI has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against OFI?
PAOK has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - PAOK were as follows:
08.02.2025
OFI
-
PAOK
0:5
27.10.2024
PAOK
-
OFI
1:2
03.01.2024
PAOK
-
OFI
4:0
03.09.2023
OFI
-
PAOK
1:0
14.01.2023
PAOK
-
OFI
0:0
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
