OFI vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Greek Super League OFI - PAOK
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 3
  • Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
81% (358/444)83% (365/442)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.321.27
Total shots
714
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
819
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
27
Free Kicks
158
Passes
81% (358/444)83% (365/442)
Long passes
43% (31/72)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
48% (33/69)73% (102/140)
Crosses
21% (3/14)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.180.69
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
1016
Tackles
80% (8/10)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4552
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
1318
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.270.32
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Ozdoev M. , Baba A. R. (A),
  • 24', 0 - 2, Pelkas D. , Ozdoev M. (A),
  • 31', Karachalios Z. 🟨,
  • 42', Baba A. R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Theodosoulakis I. , Salcedo E. ,
  • 66', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
  • 67', Pelkas D. , Chalov F. ,
  • 67', Giakoumakis G. , Ivanusec L. ,
  • 69', Fountas T. , Rakonjac M. ,
  • 69', Karachalios Z. , Neira J. ,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Nuss T. , Gonzalez B. (A),
  • 84', Salcedo E. 🟨,
  • 89', Taison , Camara M. ,
  • 89', Shengelia L. , Apostolakis I. ,
  • 90+1', Nuss T. , Faitakis E. ,

Chances of winning


OFI
13.1%
Draw
20.4%
PAOK
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.6% 26% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1% 25.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFI's form might have worsened.
  • PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • OFI - PAOK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.53
    (4.55)
    4.94
    (3.6)
    1.5
    (1.76)
    0.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for OFI - PAOK?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Users Predictions: PAOK will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • No spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 2.
    • OFI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • OFI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, OFI has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, PAOK is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:52. (average 0.7:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - PAOK were as follows:
    08.02.2025 OFI - PAOK 0:5
    27.10.2024 PAOK - OFI 1:2
    03.01.2024 PAOK - OFI 4:0
    03.09.2023 OFI - PAOK 1:0
    14.01.2023 PAOK - OFI 0:0
    Latest results of OFI
    30.08.2025 Panserraikos - OFI 0:1
    24.08.2025 Panathinaikos - OFI Postponed
    16.08.2025 Bologna - OFI 2:4
    03.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - OFI 2:2
    02.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - OFI 2:0
    Latest results of PAOK
    31.08.2025 PAOK - Atromitos Athens 1:0
    28.08.2025 PAOK - Rijeka 5:0
    24.08.2025 PAOK - AEL Larissa 1:0
    21.08.2025 Rijeka - PAOK 1:0
    14.08.2025 Wolfsberger - PAOK 0:1
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PAOK752011:5617
    2Olympiacos Piraeus751116:51116
    3AEK Athens FC75119:5416
    4Volos740311:10112
    5Levadiakos732218:9911
    6Aris73227:8-111
    7Panathinaikos62318:719
    8Kifisia722313:1308
    9Panetolikos72148:14-67
    10Atromitos71337:8-16
    11OFI Crete62048:13-56
    12Panserraikos71245:13-85
    13AEL Larissa70437:13-64
    14Asteras Tripolis70349:14-53

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )