Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 3
- Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.33 | 1.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
81% (358/444) | 83% (365/442) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.33 | 1.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.32 | 1.27 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 7 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (358/444) | 83% (365/442) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (31/72) | 43% (24/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
48% (33/69) | 73% (102/140) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 17% (1/6) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.18 | 0.69 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 43% (6/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 18 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.27 | 0.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.73 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Baba A. R. (A),
- 24', 0 - 2, Pelkas D. ⚽, Ozdoev M. (A),
- 31', Karachalios Z. 🟨,
- 42', Baba A. R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Theodosoulakis I. ↓, Salcedo E. ↑,
- 66', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
- 67', Pelkas D. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
- 67', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 69', Fountas T. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
- 69', Karachalios Z. ↓, Neira J. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Nuss T. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
- 84', Salcedo E. 🟨,
- 89', Taison ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 89', Shengelia L. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
- 90+1', Nuss T. ↓, Faitakis E. ↑,
Chances of winning
OFI 13.1% | Draw 20.4% | PAOK 66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFI's form might have worsened.PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OFI - PAOK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.53 ↑ (4.55) |
4.94 ↑ (3.6) |
1.5 ↓ (1.76) |
0.1% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for OFI - PAOK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. OFI (votes: 1 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
PAOK will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- No spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 2.
- OFI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- OFI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, OFI has had a series of away games.
- In this match, PAOK is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:52. (average 0.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has OFI won against PAOK?
OFI has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against OFI?
PAOK has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OFI - PAOK were as follows:
08.02.2025
OFI
-
PAOK
0:5
27.10.2024
PAOK
-
OFI
1:2
03.01.2024
PAOK
-
OFI
4:0
03.09.2023
OFI
-
PAOK
1:0
14.01.2023
PAOK
-
OFI
0:0
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
2 | AEK Athens FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 13 |
3 | PAOK | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Aris | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
5 | Volos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
6 | Levadiakos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
7 | Kifisia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
8 | OFI Crete | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
9 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Atromitos | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Panserraikos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
12 | Panetolikos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
13 | AEL Larissa | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
14 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )