Result
1:1
13/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/396) | 74% (302/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (280/396) | 74% (302/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (37/77) | 38% (27/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (72/136) | 62% (78/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 75 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Kalnins M. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Puzirevskis A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Puzirevskis A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kalnins M. ↓, Ivulans M. ↑,
- 53', Leitans G. 🟨,
- 57', Aruna A. ↓, Ribeiro J. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Johnson K. ⚽, Machado F. (A),
- 64', Johnson K. 🟨,
- 65', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
- 67', Machado F. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
- 67', Evelons E. ↓, Pacepko M. ↑,
- 72', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 78', Kluskins G. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
- 80', Mashchenko V. ↓, Vejkrigers D. ↑,
- 84', Marusii M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ogre United
25.8% | Draw
29.2% | Grobiņa
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Grobiņa aligns with the current prediction.
Ogre United - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.61 ↑
(3.45) |
3.18 ↓
(3.2) |
2.06 ↑
(2.04) |
7.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ogre United - Grobiņa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Grobiņa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 6).
- Ogre United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Grobiņa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grobiņa might have a minor edge in this game.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre United won against Grobiņa?
Ogre United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Ogre United?
Grobiņa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - Grobiņa were as follows:
Latest results of Ogre United
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Auda | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Riga FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Grobina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | FK Liepaja | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
