Ogre United vs JDFS Alberts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Nakotnes liga - Round 23

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Viksna H. 🟨,
  • 43', Marusii M. 🟨,
  • 43', Mashchenko V. 🟨,
  • 44', Andersons K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Silagailis H. 🟥,
  • 63', Stepanovs V. , Jamonts K. ,
  • 71', Zegele M. , Prohorenkovs M. ,
  • 71', Suffian K. , Brahmanis M. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Mashchenko V. ,
  • 87', Pacepko M. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Marusii M. ,
  • 90+1', Romanovs K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ogre United
39.8%
Draw
23.4%
JDFS Alberts
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 22.7% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 22.2% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre United's form might have worsened.
  • JDFS Alberts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ogre United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for JDFS Alberts than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JDFS Alberts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ogre United - JDFS Alberts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.02)
    3.87
    (4)
    2.47
    (2.8)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Virsliga and 3).
    • Ogre United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • JDFS Alberts is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ogre United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ogre United has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - JDFS Alberts were as follows:
    15.06.2025 JDFS Alberts - Ogre United 2:2
    17.08.2024 JDFS Alberts - Ogre United 3:1
    20.04.2024 Ogre United - JDFS Alberts 0:3
    Latest results of Ogre United
    27.09.2025 Ogre United - Smiltene 1:0
    23.08.2025 Ogre United - Rēzekne 3:0
    Latest results of JDFS Alberts
    28.09.2025 Olaine - JDFS Alberts 1:6
    20.09.2025 JDFS Alberts - Leevon PPK 1:0
    14.09.2025 Mārupe - JDFS Alberts 2:1
    31.08.2025 JDFS Alberts - Skanstes 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1GrobinaAlberts JDFS1 : 0, 0 : 0