Result
78:83
28/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 63 | 63 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 46.03% | 41.27% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 62.86% | 52.78% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 25% | 25.93% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 56.5% | 85.7% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
Chances of winning
Ogre
37.9% | Tartu Rock
62.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre's form might have worsened.Tartu Rock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Rock's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ogre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Rock than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tartu Rock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ogre - Tartu Rock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.08) |
|
1.51 ↓
(1.66) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Ogre - Tartu Rock?
Users Predictions:
Ogre will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ogre will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:81.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 1.
- Recent performances by Ogre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tartu Rock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ogre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tartu Rock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1202:1143. (average 80.1:76.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ogre won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 583:553. (average 83.3:79).
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre won against Tartu Rock?
Ogre has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tartu Rock won against Ogre?
Tartu Rock has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre - Tartu Rock were as follows:
22.11.2025
Tartu Rock
-
Ogre
65:59
08.02.2025
Ogre
-
Tartu Rock
79:86
06.12.2024
Tartu Rock
-
Ogre
66:68
05.03.2024
Tartu Rock
-
Ogre
82:76
21.10.2023
Ogre
-
Tartu Rock
65:80
Latest results of Tartu Rock
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Tartu Ulikool | 22 | 20 | 2 | 1913:1724 | 0.909 |
| 2 | VEF Riga | 23 | 18 | 5 | 2065:1822 | 0.783 |
| 3 | Valmiera Glass Via | 22 | 16 | 6 | 2014:1770 | 0.727 |
| 4 | BC Kalev/Cramo | 22 | 16 | 6 | 2103:1780 | 0.727 |
| 5 | Rigas Zelli | 22 | 16 | 6 | 2004:1749 | 0.727 |
| 6 | Ventspils | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2084:1908 | 0.696 |
| 7 | Tal Tech | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1848:1767 | 0.682 |
| 8 | BK Ogre | 24 | 11 | 13 | 1955:1916 | 0.458 |
| 9 | Parnu | 23 | 10 | 13 | 1822:1817 | 0.435 |
| 10 | Viimsi | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1655:1952 | 0.273 |
| 11 | Keila KK | 22 | 4 | 18 | 1791:2089 | 0.182 |
| 12 | BK Liepaja | 23 | 4 | 19 | 1838:2049 | 0.174 |
| 13 | Latvijas Universitate | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1642:1991 | 0.143 |
| 14 | Keila Coolbet | 23 | 2 | 21 | 1784:2184 | 0.087 |
Promotion ~ Latvian~Estonian League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
