Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 14
- Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.41 | 0.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
74% (266/359) | 72% (214/297) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.41 | 0.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.28 | 0.29 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
74% (266/359) | 72% (214/297) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (24/58) | 52% (32/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (56/100) | 53% (40/76) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (7/29) | 27% (4/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.21 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.29 | 1.28 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.29 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Pereira S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Montecinos J. 🟨,
- 67', Gonzalez M. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
- 72', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
- 73', Nadruz A. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
- 73', Ovelar F. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
- 75', Pereira S. 🟨,
- 77', Aranguiz P. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
- 81', Rabello B. (Pen),
- 85', Pinto G. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 86', Uribe A. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
- 88', Ramirez S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
- 90+7', Jauregui B. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 0, Leiva J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
OHiggins 45.8% | Draw 26% | Unión Española 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OHiggins's form might have worsened.Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Española's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OHiggins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Española, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
OHiggins - Unión Española Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↑ (1.69) |
3.59 ↓ (3.64) |
3.34 ↓ (4.83) |
6.6% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for OHiggins - Unión Española?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 1.
- Recent performances by OHiggins have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Unión Española has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- OHiggins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, OHiggins has had a series of away games.
- In this match, OHiggins is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Unión Española?
OHiggins has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against OHiggins?
Unión Española has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between OHiggins - Unión Española were as follows:
25.09.2024
Unión Española
-
OHiggins
0:1
26.04.2024
OHiggins
-
Unión Española
2:2
12.11.2023
Unión Española
-
OHiggins
3:3
08.10.2022
Unión Española
-
OHiggins
0:0
Latest results of OHiggins
Latest results of Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
6 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Colo Colo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 25 |
9 | Union La Calera | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso