OHiggins vs Unión Española – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Teniente (Rancagua).

Liga de Primera - Round 14
Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.52
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	9
Passes
74% (266/359)	72% (214/297)
Yellow Cards
1	6
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.28	0.29
Total shots
18	8
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	9
Touches in opposition box
27	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
16	7
Passes
74% (266/359)	72% (214/297)
Long passes
41% (24/58)	52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
56% (56/100)	53% (40/76)
Crosses
24% (7/29)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.51
Throw-ins
29	25
Fouls
7	16
Tackles
75% (12/16)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
52	42
Clearances
20	35
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.29	1.28
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Pereira S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Montecinos J. 🟨,
67', Gonzalez M. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
72', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
73', Nadruz A. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
73', Ovelar F. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
75', Pereira S. 🟨,
77', Aranguiz P. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
81', Rabello B. (Pen),
85', Pinto G. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
86', Uribe A. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
88', Ramirez S. 🟨,
90+1', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
90+7', Jauregui B. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 0, Leiva J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

OHiggins
45.8%

Draw
26%

Unión Española
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.6%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OHiggins's form might have worsened.

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Española's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OHiggins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Española, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

OHiggins - Unión Española Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.69)	3.59 ↓ (3.64)	3.34 ↓ (4.83)	6.6% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for OHiggins - Unión Española?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 1.
Recent performances by OHiggins have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Unión Española has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
OHiggins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, OHiggins has had a series of away games.
In this match, OHiggins is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Unión Española?

OHiggins has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Española won against OHiggins?

Unión Española has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between OHiggins - Unión Española were as follows:

25.09.2024 Unión Española - OHiggins 0:1

26.04.2024 OHiggins - Unión Española 2:2

12.11.2023 Unión Española - OHiggins 3:3

08.10.2022 Unión Española - OHiggins 0:0

Latest results of OHiggins

31.05.2025 Universidad de Chile - OHiggins 6:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Ñublense - OHiggins 0:1 ✺

17.05.2025 OHiggins - Universidad Católica 2:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Rangers de Talca - OHiggins 1:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Coquimbo Unido - OHiggins 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Unión Española

07.06.2025 Deportes Melipilla - Unión Española 1:0 ✺

03.06.2025 Unión Española - Deportes Limache 2:2 ✺

29.05.2025 Unión Española - GVCD San José 4:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Colo-Colo - Unión Española 4:1 ✺

19.05.2025 Unión Española - Everton de Viña 0:3 ✺

Chilean Primera Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coquimbo	21	15	5	1	33:11	22	50
2	U. De Chile	20	12	2	6	44:21	23	38
3	A. Italiano	21	11	4	6	33:27	6	37
4	Palestino	20	10	6	4	26:16	10	36
5	O'Higgins	21	9	8	4	24:23	1	35
6	U. Catolica	20	9	6	5	31:21	10	33
7	Cobresal	20	9	5	6	24:21	3	32
8	Colo Colo	21	7	7	7	31:26	5	28
9	Huachipato	20	8	4	8	30:30	0	28
10	Nublense	19	6	8	5	19:24	-5	26
11	Union La Calera	21	6	5	10	17:22	-5	23
12	Everton	20	4	7	9	21:30	-9	19
13	La Serena	20	5	4	11	24:36	-12	19
14	Limache	21	4	6	11	24:32	-8	18
15	U. Espanola	21	4	2	15	19:39	-20	14
16	Deportes Iquique	20	2	5	13	21:42	-21	11

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso