Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
63% (152/243)72% (384/536)
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
99
Corner Kicks
21
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
914
Passes
63% (152/243)72% (384/536)
Fouls
146

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Isotani S. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Gleyson (Pen),
  • 38', Derlan 🟨,
  • 38', Ikeda R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Amagasa T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yoshioka K. 🟨,
  • 54', Ikeda R. , Isa K. ,
  • 65', Misawa N. , Nishido H. ,
  • 65', Arita R. , Furukawa D. ,
  • 68', Amagasa T. , Kozakai A. ,
  • 68', Gleyson , Nomura N. ,
  • 71', Yamamoto O. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 72', Misao Y. 🟨,
  • 77', Noyori K. , Naruoka H. ,
  • 78', Kawano K. , Miyayoshi T. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 84', Furukawa D. 🟨,
  • 85', Yoshida M. , Shige T. ,
  • 85', Misao Y. , Utsumoto S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oita Trinita
40.5%
Draw
34.4%
Renofa Yamaguchi
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 31.4% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 30.2% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oita Trinita's performance.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renofa Yamaguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renofa Yamaguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    3.06
    (2.95)
    4.34
    (2.75)
    -4.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Renofa Yamaguchi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Oita Trinita (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 0.
    • Recent form of Oita Trinita has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Renofa Yamaguchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi were as follows:
    26.03.2025 Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi 2:3
    16.03.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita 1:1
    03.08.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita 2:0
    26.05.2024 Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi 0:0
    06.08.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita 2:2
    Latest results of Oita Trinita
    Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito311610547:281958
    2V-Varen Nagasaki311511549:40956
    3Chiba31167843:291455
    4Vegalta Sendai311412539:281154
    5Tokushima31149833:201351
    6Omiya Ardija31148945:311450
    7Sagan Tosu31148939:34550
    8Iwata311461148:42648
    9Imabari311211839:33647
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo311341438:53-1543
    11Kofu311191135:33242
    12Iwaki3110101146:40640
    13Montedio Yamagata311151545:45038
    14Blaublitz311071440:49-937
    15Fujieda MYFC31991337:41-436
    16Kumamoto31971539:49-1034
    17Oita Trinita317121224:36-1233
    18Renofa Yamaguchi314131428:40-1225
    19Toyama31591724:43-1924
    20Ehime313111730:54-2420

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League