V-Varen Nagasaki vs Oita Trinita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita
Result
1:0
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
73% (364/497)63% (221/353)
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
147
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
26
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
73% (364/497)63% (221/353)
Fouls
814
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Matsumoto T. , Abe T. ,
  • 59', Ayukawa S. , Nomura N. ,
  • 63', Sawada T. , Kasayanagi T. ,
  • 63', Juanma Delgado , Junio E. ,
  • 67', Nakagawa H. , Nodake J. ,
  • 67', Isa K. , Kozakai A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Yoneda S. ,
  • 77', Masuyama A. , Takahata K. ,
  • 81', Shige T. , Matsuo Y. ,
  • 81', Utsumoto S. , Satsukawa A. ,
  • 89', Teruyama H. , Kushibiki K. ,

Chances of winning


V-Varen Nagasaki
56.9%
Draw
24.3%
Oita Trinita
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 27.3% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26.2% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.73)
    3.79
    (3.3)
    4.92
    (4.33)
    8.1%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita?
  • Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.
    • V-Varen Nagasaki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oita Trinita's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2
    06.10.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita 4:1
    06.05.2024 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 0:0
    03.09.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Oita Trinita 2:2
    21.05.2023 Oita Trinita - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:1
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Latest results of Oita Trinita
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

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