Okapi Aalstar vs Leiden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
108:83
01/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BNXT League - Round 6

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6571
Field Goals Made
3829
Field Goals %
58.46%40.85%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3742
2-Point Field Goals Made
2417
2-Point Field Goals %
64.86%40.48%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2829
3-Point Field Goals Made
1412
3-Point Field Goals %
50%41.38%
Free Throws Attempted
2116
Free Throws Made
1813
Free Throws %
85.7%81.3%
Offensive Rebounds
1518
Defensive Rebounds
2614
Total Rebounds
4132
Assists
2218
Blocks
33
Turnovers
1516
Steals
97
Personal Fouls
1721

Chances of winning


Okapi Aalstar
38.9%
Leiden
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 51.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Okapi Aalstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Okapi Aalstar's form might have worsened.
  • Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiden's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okapi Aalstar than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okapi Aalstar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leiden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Okapi Aalstar - Leiden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (1.89)

    1.51
    (1.73)
    8.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 166.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Okapi Aalstar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leiden is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Leiden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leiden is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Leiden will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Okapi Aalstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 232:223. (average 77.3:74.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Okapi Aalstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 165:144. (average 82.5:72).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Okapi Aalstar - Leiden were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Okapi Aalstar - Leiden 80:71
    12.10.2024 Leiden - Okapi Aalstar 79:67
    17.09.2022 Okapi Aalstar - Leiden 85:73
    Latest results of Okapi Aalstar
    25.10.2025 Okapi Aalstar - Landstede 81:95
    22.10.2025 LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar 94:105
    Latest results of Leiden
    25.10.2025 Den Helder Suns - Leiden 68:84
    18.10.2025 Leiden - LWD Basket 108:89
    12.10.2025 Spirou Charleroi - Leiden 60:87
    04.10.2025 Leiden - Rotterdam City 111:68
    27.09.2025 BAL Weert - Leiden 64:83
    BNXT League Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Antwerp Giants201731924:15420.850
    2Oostende211651857:16940.762
    3Okapi Aalst211561991:18270.714
    4Kortrijk211471846:16890.667
    5Den Bosch201371744:16510.650
    6Leiden211381825:16890.619
    7Mechelen211381640:16740.619
    8Limburg211291888:16890.571
    9Donar Groningen181081477:15040.556
    10Brussels Basketball2111101786:17280.524
    11Leuven Bears2111101696:16550.524
    12Spirou Charleroi198111587:16920.421
    13Belfius Mons218131787:19220.381
    14Den Helder206141598:17260.300
    15LWD Basket206141699:18980.300
    16Zwolle216151655:17610.286
    17Rotterdam203171552:18240.150
    18BAL Weert212191457:18440.095