Result
6:2
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (5 - 1)
- 9', Nunez M. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Almendarez O. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, Cabrera Y. A. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 0, Cabrera Y. A. ⚽,
- 31', Lasso J. ↓, Munoz N. ↑,
- 33', 3 - 1, Aceituno M. (Pen),
- 41', 4 - 1, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 43', 5 - 1, Cabrera Y. A. ⚽,
- 45+1', De Olivera R. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
- 45+1', Almendarez O. ↓, Sander R. ↑,
- 45+1', Abbott K. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Franco J. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
- 46', Nunez M. ↓, Santos Y. ↑,
- 46', Zamora J. ↓, Leveron J. ↑,
- 54', 6 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
- 59', Martinez D. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
- 70', Aceituno M. ↓, Palma E. ↑,
- 70', Argueta G. ↓, Banegas ↑,
- 74', 6 - 2, Felix B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Olancho
77.3% | Draw
15% | Choloma
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Choloma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Choloma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olancho - Choloma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.41) |
6.7 ↑
(4.2) |
13.18 ↑
(6.6) |
8.7%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 10).
- Olancho is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Choloma has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Olancho is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Olancho will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Choloma?
Olancho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Olancho?
Choloma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Choloma were as follows:
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
