Result
4:1
14/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ⚽,
- 19', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Almendarez O. ⚽,
- 45+4', Leiva G. 🟨,
- 45+4', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Mendoza D. ↑,
- 58', Lopez K. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
- 59', Canales M. 🟨,
- 62', Canales M. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
- 67', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 67', Gomez H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 69', Delgado J. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Villafranca J. ⚽,
- 72', Villafranca J. ↓, Ledesma D. ↑,
- 75', Silva F. 🟨,
- 76', 3 - 1, Leiva G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Leiva G. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 87', Medrano Y. ↓, Ilan ↑,
- 87', Hurtado L. ↓, Gaboriell N. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Almendarez O. ⚽,
- 90+2', Almendarez O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mendoza D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olancho
51.9% | Draw
25.1% | Juticalpa
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olancho's form might have worsened.Juticalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juticalpa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Olancho - Juticalpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.52) |
3.63 ↓
(3.8) |
3.96 ↓
(5.33) |
9.9%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olancho - Juticalpa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Juticalpa (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Juticalpa (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Juticalpa will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Juticalpa (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olancho is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Juticalpa?
Olancho has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Olancho?
Juticalpa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Juticalpa were as follows:
16.10.2025
Olancho
-
Juticalpa
0:1
02.08.2025
Juticalpa
-
Olancho
1:1
20.04.2025
Juticalpa
-
Olancho
0:1
16.02.2025
Olancho
-
Juticalpa
1:1
29.09.2024
Juticalpa
-
Olancho
0:1
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of Juticalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
