Result
1:0
01/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 30
- Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Germany | Magenta Sport |
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
49.4% | Draw
25.9% | Oldenburg
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.78) |
3.57 ↓
(3.78) |
3.76 ↓
(4.54) |
7.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Aue is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Oldenburg?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldenburg won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Oldenburg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg were as follows:
05.01.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Oldenburg
5:1
08.10.2022
Oldenburg
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:3
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 61 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 61:49 | 12 | 55 |
| 3 | Verl | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 70:41 | 29 | 54 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 54:41 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | Cottbus | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 55:44 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 53:32 | 21 | 53 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 46:39 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 49:54 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 50:41 | 9 | 40 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Viktoria Koln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 41:41 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 38 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 40:46 | -6 | 33 |
| 17 | Ulm | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 39:62 | -23 | 25 |
| 18 | Aue | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 34:54 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:69 | -26 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 30 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 29:69 | -40 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
