Erzgebirge Aue vs Oldenburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg
Result
1:0
01/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 30
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
49.4%
Draw
25.9%
Oldenburg
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 25.3% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.5% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.78)
    3.57
    (3.78)
    3.76
    (4.54)
    7.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • In this match Aue is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg were as follows:
    05.01.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg 5:1
    08.10.2022 Oldenburg - Erzgebirge Aue 1:3
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Oldenburg
    25.03.2023 Oldenburg - Viktoria Köln 1:3
    18.03.2023 Bayreuth - Oldenburg 1:2
    11.03.2023 Osnabrück - Oldenburg 2:0
    05.03.2023 Oldenburg - Duisburg 2:3
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg972020:71323
    2Saarbrucken953118:11718
    3Cottbus952221:12917
    4VfL Osnabruck944111:5616
    5RW Essen943219:17215
    6Hoffenheim II942319:14514
    7Viktoria Koln942312:9314
    8Mannheim941417:14313
    9Ulm941416:14213
    10Wehen934213:11213
    11Verl934217:16113
    12Munich 1860933314:16-212
    13Stuttgart II93339:14-512
    14Alemannia Aachen931515:17-210
    15Hansa Rostock92436:10-410
    16Aue93158:14-610
    17Ingolstadt915315:1418
    18Regensburg92168:15-77
    19TSV Havelse904510:19-94
    20Schweinfurt91086:25-193

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation