Result
1:0
01/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 30
- Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Germany | Magenta Sport |
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
49.4% | Draw
25.9% | Oldenburg
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzgebirge Aue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.78) |
3.57 ↓
(3.78) |
3.76 ↓
(4.54) |
7.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aue: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Aue is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Aue won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Oldenburg?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldenburg won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Oldenburg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg were as follows:
05.01.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Oldenburg
5:1
08.10.2022
Oldenburg
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:3
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
