Gianluca Mager vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 10 Men Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Result
2:1
10/10/2024 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
43

Chances of winning


Gianluca Mager
52.8%
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Mager's form might have worsened.
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.51)

    1.95
    (2.4)
    8.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mager is ranked ATP: 254. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418.
    • Mager is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ovcharenko is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Ovcharenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Mager will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mager won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gianluca Mager 1:2
    Latest results of Gianluca Mager
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Agamenone F. (RET.) (1)Crivellaro G.0 : 1
    2Mondazzi A.Sorger S.0 : 2
    3Gill F.Zimmermann I.2 : 0
    4Iannaccone F.Cadenasso G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    5Piraino G. (3)Catini N.2 : 0
    6Amarandei D. A.Pecci A. (RET.)0 : 0
    7McDonald N.Giunta M.1 : 2
    8Marino P.Aubriot A.2 : 0
    9Dalla Valle E. (6)Recek D.2 : 0
    10Angelini L.Handel T.0 : 2
    11Siniakov D.Rahmani K.2 : 0
    12Berto L.Ovcharenko O. (4)0 : 2
    13Chepelev A. (8)Ferrari G.2 : 0
    14Gandolfi G.Gruenig G.1 : 2
    15Shtengelov A.Oradini G.0 : 2
    16Cocola S.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Crivellaro G.Sorger S.0 : 2
    2Gill F.Iannaccone F.2 : 0
    3Piraino G. (3)Amarandei D. A.2 : 1
    4Giunta M.Marino P.2 : 0
    5Dalla Valle E. (6)Handel T.0 : 2
    6Siniakov D.Ovcharenko O. (4)0 : 2
    7Chepelev A. (8)Gruenig G.2 : 0
    8Oradini G.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sorger S.Gill F.0 : 2
    2Piraino G. (3)Giunta M.1 : 2
    3Handel T.Ovcharenko O. (4)2 : 0
    4Chepelev A. (8)Michalski D. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gill F.Giunta M.2 : 0
    2Handel T.Michalski D. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Gill F.Michalski D. (2)2 : 0