Gianluca Mager vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 10 Men Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Result
2:1
10/10/2024 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
43

Chances of winning


Gianluca Mager
52.8%
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianluca Mager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianluca Mager's form might have worsened.
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.51)

    1.95
    (2.4)
    8.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mager is ranked ATP: 254. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418.
    • Mager is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ovcharenko is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Ovcharenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Mager will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mager won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gianluca Mager 1:2
    Latest results of Gianluca Mager
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Mager G. (1)Compagnucci T.2 : 0
    2Ovcharenko O.Perfetti N. (Q)2 : 0
    3Nesterov P.Schiavone P. (WC)2 : 0
    4Miletich I. (WC)Fanselow S. (6)0 : 2
    5Maestrelli F. (4)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    6Spadola A. (Q)Bronzetti A. (Q)2 : 1
    7Catini N. (Q)Carraro L. (Q)0 : 2
    8Martin A.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    9Krumich M. (7)Caniato C. A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Serafini M.Fatic N.0 : 2
    11Piraino G.Cadenasso G. (SE)1 : 2
    12Bailly G. A. (Q)Giustino L. (3)1 : 2
    13Sanchez Izquierdo N. (5)Krutykh O.2 : 1
    14Milev Y.Weis A.0 : 2
    15Noce G. M. (Q)Pennaforti G.0 : 2
    16Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)Clarke J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Mager G. (1)Ovcharenko O.2 : 1
    2Nesterov P.Fanselow S. (6)1 : 2
    3Maestrelli F. (4)Spadola A.2 : 0
    4Carraro L.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Krumich M. (7)Fatic N.0 : 2
    6Cadenasso G.Giustino L. (3)0 : 2
    7Sanchez Izquierdo N. (5)Weis A.2 : 0
    8Pennaforti G.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mager G. (1)Fanselow S. (6)2 : 1
    2Maestrelli F. (4)Kuzmanov D. (8)2 : 0
    3Fatic N.Giustino L. (3)2 : 0
    4Sanchez Izquierdo N. (5)Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mager G. (1)Maestrelli F. (4)2 : 1
    2Fatic N.Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Mager G. (RET.) (1)Clarke J. (2)0 : 1