Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 9 Men Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Result
2:1
03/10/2024 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
33

Chances of winning


Oleksandr Ovcharenko
70%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gilles Arnaud Bailly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.74)

    3.09
    (2.04)
    7.9%
    (6.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418. Bailly is ranked ATP: 620.
    • Ovcharenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bailly is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bailly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Michalski D. (1)Catini N.2 : 0
    2McDonald N.Basile P.0 : 2
    3Tabacco F.Tabacco G.0 : 2
    4Miletich I.Berrettini J. (6)0 : 2
    5Bielinskyi V. (4)Cadenasso G.1 : 2
    6Pieri S.Angelini L.0 : 2
    7Bilardo J.Kivattsev K.2 : 1
    8Rahmani K.Martin A. (5)1 : 2
    9Krutykh O. (8)Oradini G.0 : 2
    10Weis A.Iannaccone F.2 : 0
    11Sorger S.Rapagnetta D.2 : 0
    12Petkovic M.Piraino G. (3)1 : 2
    13Ovcharenko O. (7)Misasi G.1 : 2
    14Handel T.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    15Crivellaro G.Rossi L.2 : 0
    16Compagnucci T.Kopp S. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Michalski D. (1)Basile P.2 : 1
    2Tabacco G.Berrettini J. (6)0 : 2
    3Cadenasso G.Angelini L.2 : 0
    4Bilardo J.Martin A. (5)1 : 2
    5Oradini G.Weis A.1 : 2
    6Sorger S.Piraino G. (3)0 : 2
    7Misasi G.Ribecai M.0 : 2
    8Crivellaro G.Compagnucci T.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Michalski D. (1)Berrettini J. (6)2 : 0
    2Cadenasso G.Martin A. (5)2 : 1
    3Weis A. (RET.)Piraino G. (3)0 : 0
    4Ribecai M.Compagnucci T.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michalski D. (1)Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    2Piraino G. (3)Ribecai M.1 : 2

    Final
    1Michalski D. (1)Ribecai M.2 : 0