Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Santa Margherita Di Pula 9 Men Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Result
2:1
03/10/2024 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9 (Italy), clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Max Games In Row
33

Chances of winning


Oleksandr Ovcharenko
70%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandr Ovcharenko's performance.
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gilles Arnaud Bailly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandr Ovcharenko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gilles Arnaud Bailly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.74)

    3.09
    (2.04)
    7.9%
    (6.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 418. Bailly is ranked ATP: 620.
    • Ovcharenko is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bailly is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bailly could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Clarke J. (1)Guerrieri A.1 : 2
    2Ferrari F. (Q)Oradini G.1 : 2
    3Barnat J. (Q)Spadola A. (Q)2 : 1
    4de Marchi A. (WC)Piraino G. (8)1 : 2
    5Forejtek J. (RET.) (4)Bronzetti A. (Q)0 : 1
    6Bilardo J. (WC)Serafini M.1 : 2
    7Cadenasso G.Sciahbasi L. (Q)2 : 0
    8Pieri S.Weis A. (6)0 : 2
    9Ovcharenko O. (7)Rahmani K. (Q)2 : 0
    10Rapagnetta D. (WC)Sakellaridis D. (Q)2 : 1
    11Kellovsky D.La Vela G.1 : 2
    12Bailly G. A.Agamenone F. (3)2 : 1
    13Krumich M. (5)Coppejans K.1 : 2
    14Budkov Kjaer N.Ribecai M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Iannaccone F.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    16Krutykh O.Maestrelli F. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Guerrieri A.Oradini G.0 : 2
    2Barnat J. (RET.)Piraino G. (8)0 : 1
    3Bronzetti A.Serafini M.2 : 1
    4Cadenasso G.Weis A. (6)2 : 0
    5Ovcharenko O. (7)Rapagnetta D.2 : 0
    6La Vela G.Bailly G. A.0 : 2
    7Coppejans K.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    8Iannaccone F.Krutykh O.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Oradini G.Piraino G. (8)0 : 2
    2Bronzetti A.Cadenasso G.0 : 2
    3Ovcharenko O. (7)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    4Budkov Kjaer N.Krutykh O.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Piraino G. (8)Cadenasso G.0 : 2
    2Ovcharenko O. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1

    Final
    1Cadenasso G.Ovcharenko O. (7)0 : 2