Result
4:1
12/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Raida M. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Bol A. 🟨,
- 5', Kulakov A. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Cara T. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Assinor M. ⚽, Dajko A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 48', Dajko A. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Cara T. ⚽, Shostak D. (A),
- 60', Bennette J. ↓, Obah P. ↑,
- 60', Tankovskiy V. ↓, Pastukh Y. ↑,
- 71', Kozak A. ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
- 71', Kulakov A. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 75', Oharkov M. 🟨,
- 79', Myshnyov D. ↓, Buletsa S. ↑,
- 79', Fernando Henrique ↓, Smyrnyi Y. ↑,
- 84', Oharkov M. ↓, Ndicka Matam T. ↑,
- 84', Pasich G. 🟨,
- 86', Nonikashvili S. ↓, Kravchuk D. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Shostak D. ⚽,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Jhonnatan ⚽,
Chances of winning
Oleksandriya
27.8% | Draw
30.2% | LNZ Cherkasy
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandriya's form might have worsened.LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LNZ Cherkasy's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LNZ Cherkasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oleksandriya - LNZ Cherkasy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.7) |
3.12 ↑
(3.1) |
2.24 ↓
(2.57) |
6.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Oleksandriya - LNZ Cherkasy?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 2 - 25%). LNZ will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LNZ: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 25%). LNZ (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 8).
- Oleksandriya is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- LNZ is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Oleksandriya has had a series of away games.
- LNZ might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that LNZ will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oleksandriya won against LNZ Cherkasy?
Oleksandriya has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LNZ Cherkasy won against Oleksandriya?
LNZ Cherkasy has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandriya - LNZ Cherkasy were as follows:
14.12.2024
Oleksandriya
-
LNZ Cherkasy
1:1
12.08.2024
LNZ Cherkasy
-
Oleksandriya
0:2
21.04.2024
Oleksandriya
-
LNZ Cherkasy
1:2
07.10.2023
LNZ Cherkasy
-
Oleksandriya
0:0
23.07.2023
Oleksandriya
-
LNZ Cherkasy
5:1
Latest results of Oleksandriya
Latest results of LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LNZ Cherkasy | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22:8 | 14 | 38 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 45:12 | 33 | 38 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28:11 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36:21 | 15 | 29 |
| 5 | Kryvbas | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Metalist 1925 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Veres-Rivne | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 21 |
| 10 | Karpaty Lviv | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Obolon | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 16 |
| 14 | Epitsentr | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16:41 | -25 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
