Oleksandriya vs Poltava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Oleksandriya - Poltava
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Solovyan O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
21
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
95
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
99
Fouls
1110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Vivdych O. , Galenkov D. ,
  • 18', Streltsov Y. 🟨,
  • 39', Ferreira M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Cara T. , Kulakov A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Shostak D. 🟨,
  • 58', Shostak D. , Myshnyov D. ,
  • 70', Kulakov A. , Castillo B. ,
  • 70', Kozak A. , Jota ,
  • 85', Misyura Y. , Onishchenko A. ,
  • 87', Buletsa S. , Bol A. ,
  • 87', Cara T. , Touati H. ,
  • 89', Myshnyov D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dolgyi V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oleksandriya
59.5%
Draw
24.1%
Poltava
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 27% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 25.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oleksandriya's performance.
  • Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Poltava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleksandriya that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Poltava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oleksandriya - Poltava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.81)
    3.92
    (3.31)
    5.7
    (3.76)
    6.2%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
    • Oleksandriya is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Poltava is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Poltava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Oleksandriya is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oleksandriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Oleksandriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandriya - Poltava were as follows:
    17.07.2023 Oleksandriya - Poltava 2:0
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    Latest results of Poltava
    21.09.2025 Poltava - Metalist 1925 0:2
    18.09.2025 Nyva Ternopil - Poltava 3:0
    14.09.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Poltava 1:1
    29.08.2025 Poltava - Zorya Luhansk 1:4
    17.08.2025 Kudrivka - Poltava 3:1
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk852115:8717
    2Dyn. Kyiv844022:111116
    3Kryvbas851216:11516
    4Polissya Zhytomyr850314:8615
    5Metalist 1925843111:5615
    6LNZ Cherkasy84229:7214
    7Kolos Kovalivka84228:6214
    8Karpaty Lviv825114:12211
    9FK Zorya Luhansk832311:10111
    10Obolon82427:8-110
    11Kudrivka831412:14-210
    12Veres-Rivne82246:9-38
    13Oleksandriya82159:15-67
    14Rukh Lviv82066:16-106
    15SC Poltava81165:17-124
    16Epitsentr81078:16-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga