Result
3:3
03/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Reznikov D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Castillo B. ⚽,
- 9', Butko B. ↓, Skorko D. ↑,
- 17', Savenkov A. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Amaral M. ⚽, Cara T. (A),
- 37', 0 - 3, Amaral M. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
- 40', 1 - 3, Doroshenko A. ⚽, Danylenko V. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Vivdych O. ↓, Kobzar B. ↑,
- 58', Danylenko V. ↓, Plakhtyr D. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 3, Kobzar B. ⚽,
- 64', Shulyanskyi A. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 3, Plakhtyr D. ⚽,
- 79', Castillo B. ↓, Yade P. ↑,
- 79', Amaral M. ↓, Kremchanin D. ↑,
- 80', Odaryuk V. ↓, Buzhyn M. ↑,
- 89', Kobzar B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Poltava
23% | Draw
25.2% | Oleksandriya
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Poltava have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Poltava - Oleksandriya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↓
(4.14) |
3.7 ↓
(3.97) |
1.8 ↑
(1.79) |
7.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).
- Poltava has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Oleksandriya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Oleksandriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Poltava won against Oleksandriya?
Poltava has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oleksandriya won against Poltava?
Oleksandriya has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Poltava - Oleksandriya were as follows:
27.09.2025
Oleksandriya
-
Poltava
1:0
17.07.2023
Oleksandriya
-
Poltava
2:0
Latest results of Poltava
Latest results of Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 59:16 | 43 | 60 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 36:16 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44:17 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 58:31 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Kolos Kovalivka | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Kryvbas | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Karpaty Lviv | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Veres-Rivne | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Obolon | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 22:42 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 18:49 | -31 | 13 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20:63 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
