Oleksii Krutykh vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rome Challenger Men Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Merida Aguilar
Result
1:2
21/04/2024 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
  • Referee: De Pasquale G. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
56%74%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (35/59)60% (50/83)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (21/46)52% (15/29)
Break Points Saved
46% (6/13)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
41% (34/83)42% (25/59)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (14/29)54% (25/46)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)54% (7/13)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
52% (55/105)58% (65/112)
Return Points Won
42% (47/112)48% (50/105)
Total Points Won
47% (102/217)53% (115/217)
Max Games In Row
34
Service Games Won
53% (8/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)47% (7/15)
Total Games Won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Oleksii Krutykh
50.1%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksii Krutykh's form might have worsened.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksii Krutykh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.67)

    1.86
    (2.11)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Krutykh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Merida Aguilar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Krutykh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Oleksii Krutykh
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Sultanov K.2 : 1
    2Roca Batalla O.Prihodko O. (Q)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A.Vasami J. (WC)2 : 1
    4Bertola R. (Alt)Bouquier A. (6)2 : 0
    5Skatov T. (4)Cornut-Chauvinc A.2 : 0
    6Jubb P.Travaglia S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Hardt N.Pokorny L. (Q)0 : 2
    8Poljicak M. (Alt)Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    9Arnaboldi F. (8)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    10Shelbayh A.Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    11Kopp S. (Q)Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    12Brunold M. (Q)Habib H. (3)0 : 2
    13Gigante M. (7)Giustino L.2 : 1
    14Coppejans K. (Q)Stricker D.2 : 0
    15Maestrelli F. (Alt)Squire H.2 : 1
    16Carboni L. (WC)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Prihodko O.2 : 0
    2Pellegrino A.Bertola R.2 : 1
    3Skatov T. (WO.) (4)Travaglia S.
    4Pokorny L.Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    5Arnaboldi F. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    6Kopp S.Habib H. (3)2 : 0
    7Gigante M. (7)Coppejans K.2 : 1
    8Maestrelli F.Carboni L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Pellegrino A.2 : 1
    2Skatov T. (4)Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    3Arnaboldi F. (8)Kopp S.0 : 2
    4Gigante M. (7)Maestrelli F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Neumayer L. (5)2 : 1
    2Kopp S.Gigante M. (WO.) (7)

    Final
    1Gaubas V. (1)Gigante M. (7)1 : 2