Olimpia Elbląg vs GKS Bełchatów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
11/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kondracki K. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Napolov S. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 1, Kordykiewicz O. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Kordykiewicz O. ,
  • 88', 4 - 1, Marucha D. ,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Elbląg
44.4%
Draw
25.1%
GKS Bełchatów
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 25% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 25.6% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Elbląg's performance.
  • GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Bełchatów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Elbląg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Bełchatów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.54)
    3.87
    (3.63)
    3.19
    (2.32)
    2.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 2.
    • Elbląg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bełchatów has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elbląg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Olimpia Elbląg
    Latest results of GKS Bełchatów
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II19152256:193747
    2Warta Sieradz18132333:141941
    3LKS Lomza19124345:192640
    4Zabki19122556:302638
    5Suwalki19113534:241036
    6Plock II1893632:28430
    7Bron Radom1976626:32-627
    8Swit Mazowiecki1983831:36-527
    9Troszyn1974845:331225
    10T. Mazowiecki1973934:31324
    11Olimpia Elblag1866629:33-424
    12Widzew Lodz II1863933:47-1421
    13Jagiellonia II1955920:29-920
    14GKS Belchatow1955934:44-1020
    15Mlawa19451028:39-1117
    16Wikielec1735916:28-1214
    17Wasilkow18411316:40-2413
    18Biala Piska18121512:54-425

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