Olimpia Grudziądz vs Skra Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa
Result
2:1
16/05/2025 at 13:23 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
124
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
32
Goalkeeper Saves
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Sobczak K. ,
  • 40', Ciupa I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kaczmarek T. , Gutowski K. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Koperski F. ,
  • 65', Koperski F. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Rychert K. ,
  • 84', Rychert K. , Wojcik F. ,

Chances of winning


Olimpia Grudziądz
70.9%
Draw
18.9%
Skra Częstochowa
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.7% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 21.9% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.
  • Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skra Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skra Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.49)
    4.89
    (4)
    9.08
    (5.6)
    8.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.
    • Olimpia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Skra Częstochowa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Olimpia is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz 2:1
    15.03.2024 Skra Częstochowa - Olimpia Grudziądz 0:0
    02.09.2023 Olimpia Grudziądz - Skra Częstochowa 0:0
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ol. Grudziadz1063122:121021
    2Podhale Nowy Targ1046013:7618
    3Sandecja Nowy S1153320:17318
    4Skierniewice1051419:13616
    5S. Wola1044222:17516
    6R. Rzeszow1044219:14516
    7Warta Poznan1044214:11316
    8Hutnik Krakow1043319:16315
    9Zaglebie Sosnowiec1043316:17-115
    10Podbeskidzie1042415:16-114
    11Kleczew1033418:17112
    12Slask Wroclaw II1033415:15012
    13KKS Kalisz1133512:15-312
    14Bielsko-Biala1033414:18-412
    15Swit Szczecin1033416:21-512
    16Chojniczanka1015414:21-78
    17LKS Lodz II1014511:18-77
    18GKS Jastrzebie100378:22-143

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation