Basket Brescia vs Olimpia Milano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
102:106
21/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Italian Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5865
Field goals made
3238
Field goals %
55.17%58.46%
2-point field goals attempts
3938
2-point field goals made
2222
2-point field goals %
56.41%57.89%
3-point field goals attempts
1927
3-point field goals made
1016
3-point field goals %
52.63%59.26%
Free throws attempts
3518
Free throws made
2816
Free throws %
80%88.9%
Offensive rebounds
119
Defensive rebounds
1717
Total rebounds
2826
Assists
1418
Blocks
32
Turnovers
99
Steals
62
Personal fouls
1827

Highlights

Chances of winning


Basket Brescia
31.9%
Olimpia Milano
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 60.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basket Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basket Brescia's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpia Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Milano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basket Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Milano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.5)

    1.38
    (1.5)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 166.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 2.
    • Brescia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Olimpia Milano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Brescia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Olimpia Milano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1550:1639. (average 77.5:82).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brescia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 810:833. (average 81:83.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano were as follows:
    01.02.2026 Olimpia Milano - Basket Brescia 81:90
    05.11.2025 Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano 98:92
    28.09.2025 Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano 76:90
    15.03.2025 Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano 73:79
    15.02.2025 Basket Brescia - Olimpia Milano 69:74
    Latest results of Basket Brescia
    18.02.2026 Basket Brescia - Udine 78:64
    14.02.2026 Varese - Basket Brescia 98:96
    25.01.2026 Basket Brescia - Udine 83:80
    Latest results of Olimpia Milano
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1BresciaUdine78 : 64
    2Olimpia MilanoTrieste94 : 86
    3VeneziaTortona87 : 95
    4Virtus BolognaBasket Napoli83 : 73

    Semi-finals
    1BresciaOlimpia Milano102 : 106
    2TortonaVirtus Bologna84 : 78

    Final
    1Olimpia MilanoTortona85 : 77