Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Italian Lega A Basketball Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna
Result
78:84
07/06/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Lega A - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Baldini L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5852
Field Goals Made
2427
Field Goals %
41.4%51.9%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2829
2-Point Field Goals Made
1519
2-Point Field Goals %
53.6%65.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3023
3-Point Field Goals Made
98
3-Point Field Goals %
30%34.8%
Free Throws Attempted
2626
Free Throws Made
2122
Free Throws %
80.8%84.6%
Offensive Rebounds
95
Defensive Rebounds
2023
Total Rebounds
2928
Assists
1719
Blocks
10
Turnovers
711
Steals
45
Personal Fouls
2121

Highlights

Chances of winning


Olimpia Milano
74.7%
Virtus Bologna
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpia Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Milano's performance.
  • Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Milano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.39)

    3.73
    (2.74)
    5.8%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 157.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • What is the prediction for Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Olimpia Milano will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:75.
  • Preview Facts
    • Virtus Bologna leads series 2-1. 4th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Olimpia Milano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Olimpia Milano is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1586:1551. (average 79.3:77.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia Milano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 889:847. (average 80.8:77).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna were as follows:
    05.06.2025 Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna 68:78
    02.06.2025 Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano 66:85
    31.05.2025 Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano 68:67
    04.04.2025 Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano 90:70
    02.03.2025 Virtus Bologna - Olimpia Milano 86:80
    Latest results of Olimpia Milano
    Latest results of Virtus Bologna
    27.05.2025 Virtus Bologna - Venezia 86:84
    25.05.2025 Venezia - Virtus Bologna 84:78
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Venezia (8)3 : 2
    2Trento (4)Olimpia Milano (5)1 : 3
    3Trapani (2)Reggiana (7)3 : 0
    4Brescia (3)Trieste (6)3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Olimpia Milano (5)3 : 1
    2Trapani (2)Brescia (3)0 : 3

    Final
    1Virtus Bologna (1)Brescia (3)3 : 0