Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/08/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Slovakia | Kanal A | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 46% | 54% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 15 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 19 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 21 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 12 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', Muradyan S. 🟨, 
- 17', 1 - 0, Ferreira H. ⚽, 
- 20', 2 - 0, Matheus Aias ⚽, Ferreira H. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 1, Marin A. (Pen), 
- 57', Agba P. ↓, Celhaka J. ↑, 
- 57', Kojic D. ↓, Brest M. ↑, 
- 59', Sangare G. 🟨, 
- 66', Matheus Aias ↓, Mulahusejnovic N. ↑, 
- 66', Sangare G. ↓, Harutyunyan H. ↑, 
- 70', Blanco A. ↓, Pinto D. ↑, 
- 75', Oulad Omar I. ↓, Pinson V. ↑, 
- 76', 2 - 2, Durdov I. ⚽, Tamm A. (A), 
- 77', 3 - 2, Harutyunyan H. ⚽, 
- 81', Diga 🟨, 
- 88', Jakolis M. 🟨, 
- 88', Boakye E. ↓, Zolotic N. ↑, 
- 88', Sualehe D. ↓, Hambardzumyan H. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Noah Yerevan 52.2%
 | Draw 24.3%
 | Olimpija Ljubljana 23.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Noah Yerevan - Olimpija Ljubljana Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.79 ↓ (1.88)
 | 3.84 ↑ (3.75)
 | 3.95 ↑ (3.4)
 | 7.2% (9.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Noah Yerevan - Olimpija Ljubljana?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Noah Yerevan will win 
                    (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Noah Yerevan will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - 1st leg result: 4-1. 2nd leg.
- Noah is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Olimpija has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olimpija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Noah is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Noah Yerevan won against Olimpija Ljubljana?
                    
                    
                        
                            Noah Yerevan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Olimpija Ljubljana won against Noah Yerevan?
                    
                    
                        
                             Olimpija Ljubljana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Noah Yerevan - Olimpija Ljubljana were as follows:
                                                        
                                21.08.2025 
                                Olimpija Ljubljana 
                                - 
                                Noah Yerevan 
                                1:4
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Noah Yerevan                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Olimpija Ljubljana                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 | 
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 | 
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 | 
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 | 
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 | 
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 | 
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 | 
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 | 
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 | 
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 | 
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 | 
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 | 
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 | 
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 | 
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 | 
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | 
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 | 
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | 
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 | 
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 | 
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | 
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | 
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 | 
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | 
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 | 
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | 
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | 
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 | 
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | 
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | 
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 | 
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 | 
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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