Result
0:1
09/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Federal - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Amarilla C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ferreyra M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Villacorta F. ↓, Murialdo A. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Amarilla C. ⚽,
- 71', Esculino I. 🟨,
- 75', Carcamo F. ↓, Salter S. ↑,
- 76', Santilli E. ↓, Ferro R. ↑,
- 76', Silva F. ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
- 84', Ramirez D. 🟨,
- 85', Coacci E. ↓, Vivas J. ↑,
- 86', Moiraghi N. 🟨,
- 89', Ibanez M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ramirez D. ↓, Groba G. ↑,
- 90+2', Amarilla C. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
- 90+2', Pavon A. ↓, Curruhinca A. ↑,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Germinal
23.3% | Draw
30.5% | Olimpo Bahia Blanca
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Germinal's form might have worsened.Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpo Bahia Blanca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Germinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.9 ↑
(2.95) |
2.98 ↓
(3.15) |
1.96 ↓
(2.23) |
10.4%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Users Predictions:
Olimpo Bahia Blanca will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olimpo Bahia Blanca will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2.
- Germinal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Olimpo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olimpo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Germinal won against Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Germinal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpo Bahia Blanca won against Germinal?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca were as follows:
27.04.2025
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
-
Germinal
1:2
28.07.2024
Germinal
-
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0:1
30.06.2024
Germinal
-
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:1
05.05.2024
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
-
Germinal
0:1
03.09.2023
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
-
Germinal
3:0
Latest results of Germinal
Latest results of Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
Winners stageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ciudad Bolivar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Argentino MM | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Costa Brava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Biblioteca Atenas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Kimberley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Deportivo Rincon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Cipolletti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Villa Mitre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Atl. Rafaela | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Sportivo Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Chivilcoy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | San Martin Formosa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 8 | Juventud Antoniana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Douglas Haig | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
