Germinal vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
09/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
60
Yellow Cards
17
Total shots
611
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
60
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Amarilla C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ferreyra M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Villacorta F. , Murialdo A. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Amarilla C. ,
  • 71', Esculino I. 🟨,
  • 75', Carcamo F. , Salter S. ,
  • 76', Santilli E. , Ferro R. ,
  • 76', Silva F. , Villalba L. ,
  • 84', Ramirez D. 🟨,
  • 85', Coacci E. , Vivas J. ,
  • 86', Moiraghi N. 🟨,
  • 89', Ibanez M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ramirez D. , Groba G. ,
  • 90+2', Amarilla C. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 90+2', Pavon A. , Curruhinca A. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germinal
23.3%
Draw
30.5%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.7% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 28% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Germinal's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpo Bahia Blanca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Germinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.9
    (2.95)
    2.98
    (3.15)
    1.96
    (2.23)
    10.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Olimpo (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Olimpo (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Olimpo Bahia Blanca will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olimpo Bahia Blanca will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpo (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2.
    • Germinal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Olimpo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Olimpo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal 1:2
    28.07.2024 Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0:1
    30.06.2024 Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1:1
    05.05.2024 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal 0:1
    03.09.2023 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal 3:0
    Latest results of Germinal
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana32105:237
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda40222:5-32


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )