Germinal vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
09/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
60
Yellow Cards
17
Total shots
611
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
60
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Amarilla C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ferreyra M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Villacorta F. , Murialdo A. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Amarilla C. ,
  • 71', Esculino I. 🟨,
  • 75', Carcamo F. , Salter S. ,
  • 76', Santilli E. , Ferro R. ,
  • 76', Silva F. , Villalba L. ,
  • 84', Ramirez D. 🟨,
  • 85', Coacci E. , Vivas J. ,
  • 86', Moiraghi N. 🟨,
  • 89', Ibanez M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ramirez D. , Groba G. ,
  • 90+2', Amarilla C. , Fernandez S. ,
  • 90+2', Pavon A. , Curruhinca A. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germinal
23.3%
Draw
30.5%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.7% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 28% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Germinal's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpo Bahia Blanca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Germinal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.9
    (2.95)
    2.98
    (3.15)
    1.96
    (2.23)
    10.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Olimpo (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Olimpo (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Olimpo Bahia Blanca will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.12%98.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olimpo Bahia Blanca will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpo (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2.
    • Germinal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Olimpo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Olimpo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal 1:2
    28.07.2024 Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0:1
    30.06.2024 Germinal - Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1:1
    05.05.2024 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal 0:1
    03.09.2023 Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal 3:0
    Latest results of Germinal
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig761011:4719
    29 de Julio Rafaela741215:9613
    3Defensores Belgrano VR732213:10311
    4Chivilcoy73226:6011
    5Sportivo Belgrano72418:3510
    6Independiente Chivilcoy73139:9010
    7El Linqueno72236:10-48
    8Atletico Escobar72149:14-57
    9Sportivo Las Parejas71334:7-36
    10Gimnasia E.R70165:14-91


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Martin Formosa63218:5311
    2Sol de America63127:4310
    3Defensores de Vilelas731311:10110
    4Juventud Antoniana63127:7010
    5Bartolome Mitre62313:219
    6Boca Unidos622210:918
    7Tucuman Central62135:8-37
    8Sarmiento Resistencia70617:9-26
    9Sarmiento de La Banda60333:7-43


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cipolletti732210:9111
    2Biblioteca Atenas63127:7010
    3Juventud U.U62317:439
    4Argentino MM62314:319
    5Huracan Las Heras62314:409
    6Deportivo Rincon62227:708
    7Costa Brava71426:517
    8Fundacion Amigos61238:10-25
    9San Martin Mendoza61231:5-45


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca65107:0716
    2Kimberley72415:4110
    3Sol de Mayo62314:229
    4Germinal62314:319
    5Alvarado72324:409
    6Santamarina61416:427
    7Villa Mitre61323:306
    8Circulo Deportivo61143:10-74
    9Guillermo Brown60246:12-62

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
          Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )