Result
2:1
27/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Silva J. 🟨,
- 37', Pinho P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Kusso D. ⚽,
- 62', Brito T. ↓, Bruno Silva ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Lopes A. ⚽,
- 71', Kusso D. ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
- 71', Romero A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 74', Esajas R. 🟨,
- 81', Bastos L. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 81', Silva J. ↓, Joanderson ↑,
- 84', Ktatau ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 84', Reinaldo ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
- 87', Sabino ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
- 87', Namora N. ↓, Santos V. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Esajas R. ⚽,
- 90', Roberto ↓, Tounkara M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chaves
57.1% | Draw
25.1% | Oliveirense
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chaves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Chaves - Oliveirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.59) |
3.72 ↓
(3.88) |
5.25 ↑
(5.14) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chaves - Oliveirense?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chaves will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 4.
- Recent performances by Chaves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oliveirense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chaves is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Oliveirense?
Chaves has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Chaves?
Oliveirense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Oliveirense were as follows:
12.12.2025
Oliveirense
-
Chaves
2:3
15.03.2025
Chaves
-
Oliveirense
4:0
26.10.2024
Oliveirense
-
Chaves
0:3
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
