Result
2:1
06/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 31
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Covilhã 37.3% | Draw 28.6% | Oliveirense 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Covilhã - Oliveirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↓ (2.75) |
3.21 ↑ (3.2) |
2.71 ↑ (2.35) |
8.7% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Oliveirense?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveirense: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 4.
- Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Oliveirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-18.
- Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Oliveirense?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Covilhã?
Oliveirense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Oliveirense were as follows:
30.12.2022
Oliveirense
-
Covilhã
2:0
Latest results of Covilhã
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3