Covilhã vs Oliveirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Covilhã - Oliveirense
Result
2:1
06/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Covilhã
37.3%
Draw
28.6%
Oliveirense
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 27.8% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Covilhã - Oliveirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.75)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    2.71
    (2.35)
    8.7%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Covilhã - Oliveirense?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveirense: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 4.
    • Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Oliveirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-18.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Oliveirense were as follows:
    30.12.2022 Oliveirense - Covilhã 2:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    24.04.2023 Covilhã - Mafra 1:2
    15.04.2023 Leixões - Covilhã 3:2
    08.04.2023 Torreense - Covilhã 3:1
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    14.04.2023 Oliveirense - Farense 1:2
    07.04.2023 Nacional - Oliveirense 0:3
    01.04.2023 Oliveirense - Tondela 0:0
    19.03.2023 Benfica B - Oliveirense 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Leixoes32107:347
    3Sporting CP B32012:116
    4Maritimo32012:116
    5Torreense32015:236
    6Lusitania FC31204:315
    7Oliveirense31202:115
    8Feirense31114:224
    9Leiria31113:304
    10SC Farense31113:4-14
    11Portimonense31114:6-24
    12Chaves30304:403
    13Benfica B30303:303
    14Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    15Penafiel30123:5-21
    16Academico Viseu30123:5-21
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B30120:6-61

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