Covilhã vs Oliveirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Covilhã
37.3%
Draw
28.6%
Oliveirense
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 27.8% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Covilhã that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliveirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Covilhã - Oliveirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.75)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    2.71
    (2.35)
    8.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Covilhã - Oliveirense?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveirense: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 4.
    • Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Oliveirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-18.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Oliveirense were as follows:
    30.12.2022 Oliveirense - Covilhã 2:0
    Latest results of Covilhã
    24.04.2023 Covilhã - Mafra 1:2
    15.04.2023 Leixões - Covilhã 3:2
    08.04.2023 Torreense - Covilhã 3:1
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    14.04.2023 Oliveirense - Farense 1:2
    07.04.2023 Nacional - Oliveirense 0:3
    01.04.2023 Oliveirense - Tondela 0:0
    19.03.2023 Benfica B - Oliveirense 2:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

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