KaPa vs OLS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ykkosliiga - Relegation - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
108
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
108
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
75
Fouls
1411

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 16', Cukici D. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Manneh F. , Kallio E. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Anini S. , Leinonen N. (A),
  • 44', Jatta K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Anini S. , Kallio E. (A),
  • 56', 3 - 1, Babb M. , Korkko J. (A),
  • 59', Korkko J. , Aapajarvi A. ,
  • 60', Saarela E. , Raisanen A. ,
  • 61', 4 - 1, Kallio E. , Leinonen N. (A),
  • 64', 4 - 2, Suutari O. ,
  • 72', Lika Y. , Nurmi N. ,
  • 80', Suutari O. 🟨,
  • 81', Raittinen E. , Fadera M. ,
  • 81', Jatta K. , Piirto L. ,
  • 84', Anini S. , Ripatti D. ,
  • 84', Cukici D. , Valakari T. ,
  • 87', Parkkila O. , Tolra A. ,
  • 88', Kallio E. , Huovinen J. ,
  • 90+4', Leinonen N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


KaPa
52.6%
Draw
22.7%
OLS
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 22.2% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 22% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KaPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KaPa's performance.
  • OLS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and OLS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KaPa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for OLS than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OLS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KaPa - OLS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.95)
    4.05
    (4.13)
    3.73
    (2.99)
    8.7%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, KaPa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • OLS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • KaPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, KaPa is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, KaPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KaPa - OLS were as follows:
    23.10.2025 OLS - KaPa 0:3
    Latest results of KaPa
    23.10.2025 OLS - KaPa 0:3
    18.10.2025 KaPa - Salon Palloilijat 1:2
    04.10.2025 JIPPO - KaPa 2:1
    26.09.2025 Ekenäs - KaPa 4:1
    19.09.2025 KaPa - SJK Akatemia 3:1
    Latest results of OLS
    23.10.2025 OLS - KaPa 0:3
    19.10.2025 Mikkelin Palloilijat - OLS 2:2
    05.10.2025 OLS - JJK Jyväskylä 3:0
    28.09.2025 OLS - KPV Kokkola 3:0
    18.09.2025 Tampere United - OLS 0:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1KaPaOLS Oulu4 : 2, 3 : 0