Result
0:1
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Hrom D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Vogherese
37.8% | Draw
28.6% | Oltrepo
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vogherese's form might have worsened.Oltrepo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vogherese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oltrepo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vogherese - Oltrepo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.1) |
3.16 ↓
(3.23) |
2.69 ↓
(3.15) |
10.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- Recent form of Vogherese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Oltrepo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vogherese might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vogherese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Vogherese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vogherese won against Oltrepo?
Vogherese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oltrepo won against Vogherese?
Oltrepo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vogherese - Oltrepo were as follows:
07.09.2025
Oltrepo
-
Vogherese
1:0
04.05.2025
Vogherese
-
Oltrepo
3:1
22.12.2024
Oltrepo
-
Vogherese
2:2
Latest results of Vogherese
Latest results of Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
