AEK Athens vs Olympiacos Piraeus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

OPAP Arena (Athens).

Super League - Championship Group - Round 4
Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 3
Australia	ANT1 Pacific
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Claro Sports
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	ANT1 Satellite
Venezuela	Inter
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.82
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
8	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
78% (292/373)	68% (180/266)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.40	1.06
Total shots
19	6
Shots on target
8	3
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
38	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
20	20
Passes
78% (292/373)	68% (180/266)
Long passes
40% (23/57)	29% (18/62)
Passes in final third
68% (73/108)	43% (39/90)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	0.17
Throw-ins
23	24
Fouls
20	20
Tackles
83% (10/12)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
51	61
Clearances
16	25
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	8
xGOT faced
1.06	1.40
Goals prevented
-0.94	1.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Gacinovic M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Velde K. ⚽, Martins G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Szymanski D. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
57', Mantalos P. 🟨,
59', Pirola L. 🟨,
62', Gacinovic M. ↓, Pilios S. ↑,
63', Pierrot F. ↓, Fernandes P. ↑,
67', Garcia D. ↓, Hezze S. ↑,
67', Costinha ↓, Rodinei ↑,
71', Pineda O. 🟨,
72', El Kaabi A. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Yaremchuk R. ⚽, Chiquinho (A),
78', Onyemaechi B. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
79', Martins G. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
79', Lamela E. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
79', Mantalos P. ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
80', Odubajo M. 🟨,
87', Stamenic M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

AEK Athens
40.2%

Draw
29.9%

Olympiacos Piraeus
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	3.18 ↓ (3.23)	6.2% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.3% – 74.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 40%). Olympiacos (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches AEK won 1.
AEK is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Olympiacos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
AEK will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in AEK: Angelopoulos A. (Inactive) Martial A. (Red Card) Moukoudi H. (Red Card)
There will not play in Olympiacos: Carmo D. (Red Card) Horta A. (Inactive) Kostoulas C. (Inactive) Ortega F. (Inactive) Paschalakis A. (Red Card)
There are questionable in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems)
Last 20 head-to-head matches AEK won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:32 (average 1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams AEK won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Olympiacos Piraeus?

AEK Athens has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against AEK Athens?

Olympiacos Piraeus has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:

13.04.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens 1:0

02.04.2025 AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0

02.03.2025 AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus 0:1

26.02.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens 6:0

24.11.2024 Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens 4:1

Latest results of AEK Athens

13.04.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Panathinaikos - AEK Athens 3:1 ✺

02.04.2025 AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 AEK Athens - PAOK 2:3 ✺

09.03.2025 Aris - AEK Athens 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus

13.04.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos 4:2 ✺

13.03.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Bodø Glimt 2:1 ✺

Greek Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Panserraikos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	OFI Crete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	AEK Athens FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Olympiacos Piraeus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Aris	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	AEL Larissa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Asteras Tripolis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PAOK	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Levadiakos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Atromitos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Panetolikos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Kifisia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Volos	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
      Super League (Relegation Group: )