Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Championship Group - Round 1
- Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (365/488) | 62% (190/306) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (365/488) | 62% (190/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (40/83) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (105/163) | 50% (59/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Koita A. ⚽,
- 31', Pereyra R. 🟨,
- 34', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Garcia D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
- 59', Podence D. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
- 64', Pereyra R. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
- 64', Jovic L. ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
- 67', Penrice J. 🟨,
- 71', Taremi M. ↓, Clayton ↑,
- 71', Martins G. ↓, Yazici Y. ↑,
- 80', Koita A. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 80', Varga B. ↓, Zini ↑,
- 83', Hezze S. ↓, Nascimento D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olympiacos Piraeus
54.4% | Draw
26.9% | AEK Athens
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympiacos Piraeus's performance.AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympiacos Piraeus that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(2.19) |
3.47 ↑
(3.18) |
4.98 ↑
(3.18) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 13 - 65%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 44.1% – 85.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, Olympiacos is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olympiacos won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olympiacos won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against AEK Athens?
Olympiacos Piraeus has won 9 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Olympiacos Piraeus?
AEK Athens has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens were as follows:
01.02.2026
AEK Athens
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
1:1
26.10.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
AEK Athens
2:0
27.04.2025
AEK Athens
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
13.04.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
AEK Athens
1:0
02.04.2025
AEK Athens
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
Latest results of AEK Athens
Greek Super League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 9 | Atromitos | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 27:31 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 11 | Kifisia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 23 |
| 13 | Panserraikos | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:56 | -38 | 21 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 25:42 | -17 | 21 |
Relegation ~ Super League 2
