Result
1:1
01/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 19
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belarus | Sport TV |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (239/323) | 79% (330/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (239/323) | 79% (330/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 71% (110/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Costinha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ljubicic R. ↓, Koita A. ↑,
- 52', Hezze S. 🟨,
- 57', Zini ↓, Varga B. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 0, Varga B. ⚽, Marin R. (A),
- 61', Podence D. 🟨,
- 68', Taremi M. 🟨,
- 71', Costinha ↓, Martins G. ↑,
- 71', Chiquinho ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
- 75', Gacinovic M. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
- 82', Koita A. 🟨,
- 85', Scipioni L. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
- 85', Podence D. ↓, Yazici Y. ↑,
- 85', Jovic L. ↓, Kutesa D. ↑,
- 90+2', Ortega F. ↓, Onyemaechi B. ↑,
- 90+2', Marin R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Moukoudi H. 🟨,
- 90+15', Retsos P. 🟨,
- 90+16', 1 - 1, Taremi M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
AEK Athens 38.9% | Draw 29.7% | Olympiacos Piraeus 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.43 ↓ (2.54) |
3.18 ↑ (3.13) |
2.97 ↑ (2.73) |
6.3% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 44.9% – 88.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Olympiacos (2.15) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - AEK (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - AEK (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - AEK (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - AEK (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DNB - Olympiacos (2.09) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Olympiacos (1.51) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH -1 - AEK (3.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Athens will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 32 high ROI users predict this event. AEK (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Olympiacos (votes: 8 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
Pereyra R.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Olympiacos: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Paschalakis A.
(Calf Injury)
Yaremchuk R.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Olympiacos: Pirola L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Athens won against Olympiacos Piraeus?
AEK Athens has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against AEK Athens?
Olympiacos Piraeus has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
26.10.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
AEK Athens
2:0
27.04.2025
AEK Athens
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
0:2
13.04.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
AEK Athens
1:0
02.04.2025
AEK Athens
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
02.03.2025
AEK Athens
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1
Latest results of AEK Athens
Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:9 | 29 | 46 |
| 2 | AEK Athens | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 33:13 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | PAOK | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 41:13 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 47:22 | 25 | 38 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Aris | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 25 |
| 7 | Volos | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 25 |
| 8 | OFI Crete | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 21 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | AEL Larissa | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Atromitos | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Panetolikos | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 15 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 | Panserraikos | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10:46 | -36 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )