Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 6
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | SportPlus |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Usa | SportPlus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (264/385) | 64% (228/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (264/385) | 64% (228/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (28/86) | 27% (22/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (58/105) | 54% (78/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Chiquinho ⚽, El Kaabi A. (A),
- 36', Biancone G. 🟨,
- 42', Podence D. 🟨,
- 42', Kedziora T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pavlenka J. ↓, Tsiftsis A. ↑,
- 47', Costinha 🟨,
- 54', Camara M. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Taison ⚽, Zivkovic A. (A),
- 64', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
- 71', Garcia D. ↓, Mouzakitis C. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Zivkovic A. (Pen),
- 77', Martins G. ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
- 85', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
- 85', Costinha ↓, Yazici Y. ↑,
- 88', Konstantelias G. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
- 90', Ivanusec L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
PAOK
35.4% | Draw
30.2% | Olympiacos Piraeus
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.56) |
3.07 ↓
(3.2) |
2.71 ↓
(2.75) |
7.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 2.
- PAOK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Olympiacos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in PAOK: Pelkas D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Olympiacos: Rodinei
(Inactive)
Yaremchuk R.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has PAOK won against Olympiacos Piraeus?
PAOK has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympiacos Piraeus won against PAOK?
Olympiacos Piraeus has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
04.05.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
PAOK
4:2
06.04.2025
PAOK
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1
23.02.2025
Olympiacos Piraeus
-
PAOK
2:1
10.11.2024
PAOK
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:3
12.05.2024
PAOK
-
Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 16 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Volos | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Levadiakos | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 11 |
| 6 | Aris | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atromitos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | OFI Crete | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Panserraikos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 13 | AEL Larissa | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
