PAOK vs Olympiacos Piraeus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Greek Super League PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus
Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 6
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaSportPlus
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
usaUsaSportPlus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.79
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
69% (264/385)64% (228/357)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.820.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.061.21
Total shots
109
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
69% (264/385)64% (228/357)
Long passes
33% (28/86)27% (22/83)
Passes in final third
55% (58/105)54% (78/145)
Crosses
8% (1/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.65
Throw-ins
3032
Fouls
1314
Tackles
62% (8/13)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5758
Clearances
4826
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.212.06
Goals prevented
0.210.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Chiquinho , El Kaabi A. (A),
  • 36', Biancone G. 🟨,
  • 42', Podence D. 🟨,
  • 42', Kedziora T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pavlenka J. , Tsiftsis A. ,
  • 47', Costinha 🟨,
  • 54', Camara M. , Ozdoev M. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Taison , Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 64', Taison , Despodov K. ,
  • 71', Garcia D. , Mouzakitis C. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Zivkovic A. (Pen),
  • 77', Martins G. , Taremi M. ,
  • 85', Konstantelias G. 🟨,
  • 85', Costinha , Yazici Y. ,
  • 88', Konstantelias G. , Ivanusec L. ,
  • 90', Ivanusec L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Zivkovic A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


PAOK
35.4%
Draw
30.2%
Olympiacos Piraeus
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 29.3% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 31% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.56)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    2.71
    (2.75)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 2.
    • PAOK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Olympiacos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in PAOK: Pelkas D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Olympiacos: Rodinei (Inactive) Yaremchuk R. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PAOK won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PAOK won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK 4:2
    06.04.2025 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:1
    23.02.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK 2:1
    10.11.2024 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:3
    12.05.2024 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0
    Latest results of PAOK
    02.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 3:1
    28.09.2025 Asteras Tripolis - PAOK 3:3
    24.09.2025 PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0
    20.09.2025 PAOK - Panetolikos 0:0
    17.09.2025 Levadiakos - PAOK 4:1
    Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PAOK752011:5617
    2Olympiacos Piraeus751116:51116
    3AEK Athens FC75119:5416
    4Volos740311:10112
    5Levadiakos732218:9911
    6Aris73227:8-111
    7Panathinaikos62318:719
    8Kifisia722313:1308
    9Panetolikos72148:14-67
    10Atromitos71337:8-16
    11OFI Crete62048:13-56
    12Panserraikos71245:13-85
    13AEL Larissa70437:13-64
    14Asteras Tripolis70349:14-53

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