Olympiacos Piraeus vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
3:4
26/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports Golf
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalySky Sport 256
japanJapanWowow Cinema
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+ Action
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ 360
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action, SuperSport Football
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 2, Tabii
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.65
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
81% (313/386)87% (504/580)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.65
xG on target (xGOT)
3.132.28
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
712
Passes
81% (313/386)87% (504/580)
Long passes
45% (21/47)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
70% (100/143)77% (90/117)
Crosses
15% (4/26)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.221.32
Throw-ins
168
Fouls
127
Tackles
48% (10/21)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4448
Clearances
1220
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.283.13
Goals prevented
-1.720.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Chiquinho ⚽, El Kaabi A. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 23', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 2, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
  • 28', Chiquinho ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
  • 29', 1 - 3, Mbappe K. ⚽, Camavinga E. (A),
  • 40', Ortega F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia D. ↓, Hezze S. ↑,
  • 46', Camavinga E. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 52', 2 - 3, Taremi M. ⚽, Hezze S. (A),
  • 56', Guler A. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 4, Mbappe K. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 61', Guler A. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
  • 62', Pirola L. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
  • 71', Podence D. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
  • 71', Rodinei ↓, Costinha ↑,
  • 73', Asencio R. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 81', 3 - 4, El Kaabi A. ⚽, Strefezza G. (A),
  • 90', Vinicius Junior ↓, Garcia F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Olympiacos Piraeus
18.6%		Draw
20.3%		Real Madrid
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.8% 18.7% 67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1% 19.7% 71.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympiacos Piraeus that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.39 ↓
    (6.9)    		 4.82 ↓
    (5.09)    		 1.57 ↑
    (1.41)    		 3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 103 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 8 - 7.8%). Real will win (votes: 90 - 87.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 4.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81% – 93.8%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Real (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - Real (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Olympiacos (1.52) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Olympiacos (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.75 - Real (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Real (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (44 of 49 users predict this - 89.8%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 58 high ROI users predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 6 - 10.3%). Real (votes: 51 - 87.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Olympiacos has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Real has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Olympiacos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Olympiacos has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Real is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Paschalakis A. (Inactive) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yazici Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Courtois T. (Illness) Eder Militao (Groin Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
    22.11.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Atromitos Athens 3:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 AE Kifisia - Olympiacos Piraeus 1:3 ✺
    04.11.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - PSV Eindhoven 1:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Aris 2:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Volos 5:0 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    23.11.2025 Elche - Real Madrid 2:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 0:0 ✺
    04.11.2025 Liverpool - Real Madrid 1:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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