Florentia vs Olympic Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo Italian A1 Water Polo Florentia - Olympic Roma
Result
14:15 penalties
01/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A1 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Florentia
52.8%
Draw
14%
Olympic Roma
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 14.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 15.9% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Florentia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Olympic Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florentia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Florentia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic Roma than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Florentia - Olympic Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.72)
    6.5
    (6.47)
    2.74
    (2.76)
    10%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
    • In recent matches, Florentia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Olympic Roma is in a cheap shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • Florentia could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • Florentia will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • We predict that Florentia will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Florentia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:51 (average 13:12.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Florentia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:22 (average 13:11).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Florentia - Olympic Roma were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Olympic Roma - Florentia 16:14
    27.04.2025 Florentia - Olympic Roma 12:10
    28.03.2025 Florentia - Olympic Roma 14:12
    23.12.2024 Olympic Roma - Florentia 13:12
    Latest results of Florentia
    29.04.2025 Olympic Roma - Florentia 16:14
    27.04.2025 Florentia - Olympic Roma 12:10
    19.04.2025 Florentia - Trieste 7:14
    05.04.2025 Nuoto Catania - Florentia 12:12
    28.03.2025 Florentia - Olympic Roma 14:12
    Latest results of Olympic Roma
    29.04.2025 Olympic Roma - Florentia 16:14
    27.04.2025 Florentia - Olympic Roma 12:10
    28.03.2025 Florentia - Olympic Roma 14:12
    26.03.2025 Olympic Roma - Brescia 11:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brescia (1)Trieste (4)2 : 1
    2Pro Recco (2)Savona (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Brescia (1)Pro Recco (2)1 : 2

    3rd place
    2Savona (3)Trieste (4)2 : 0